Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/20/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Sunday, September 20, 2020

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MAS2/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Rays (-180) Orioles (+155)

Willy Adames and the Tampa Bay Rays (34-18, 1st in AL East) head to Oriole Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (22-30, 4th in AL East). The Orioles open this game at +155 while the Rays are priced at -180. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Ryan Yarbrough and John Means.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/18/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Out for the season
9/18/2020 Austin Meadows LF Oblique Out for the season
9/16/2020 Mike Zunino C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/13/2020 Ji-Man Choi 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/11/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/4/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/19/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Out for the season
9/16/2020 Shawn Armstrong RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 34-18 overall record this season. Yarbrough (28-15 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.95 and he has gone up against 1,385 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.01 (149 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.158. He has surrendered 307 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 80 walks. Yarbrough has pitched in 334 innings and is sitting with 277 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 211 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 233 hitters and walked 81 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 419 base hits and 190 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 151 batters and struck out 476. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .240, good for 19th in the league. The Rays hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Willy Adames is hitting .259 with an on-base percentage of .337. He has 42 hits this season in 162 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .469 and an OPS+ of 122. Kevin Kiermaier is hitting .242 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 29 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 120 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .408. The Rays have 411 hits, including 97 doubles and 70 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 221 times so far this season and they have struck out 512 times as a unit. They have left 366 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 4.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 258 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Means (13-14 mark in his career) holds a 4.10 ERA while giving up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.32 and he has faced 787 opposing hitters during his career. So far in his career, Means has conceded 176 hits while he has totaled 146 strikeouts in 191 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 87 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.153 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.05 and they have given up 187 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .197 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 215 batters and walked 99 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 418 base knocks and 223 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 173 hitters and struck out 412 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 11th in the league. The Orioles hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Hanser Alberto comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .307. He has 55 hits this year along with 17 RBI in 192 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .401 with an OPS+ of 92. Rio Ruiz is hitting .222 this season and he has an OBP of .298. He has collected 34 hits in 153 at bats while driving in 28 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .431. The Orioles as a unit have 445 base hits, including 86 doubles and 69 homers. Baltimore has walked 145 times this year and they have struck out on 449 occasions. They have had 339 men left on base and have an OPS of .748. They have scored 4.62 runs per game and totaled 240 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays (-180)

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