Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 10/8/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, October 8, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+130) Milwaukee (-140)

American Family Field is the venue where Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers (95-67, 1st in NL Central) will play the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) on Friday. The odds on this matchup have the Braves coming in at +130 and the Brewers are at -140. The over/under has been set at 7. The starting pitchers will be Charlie Morton and Corbin Burnes.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which ranks them 7th in baseball. They have earned a total of 790 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .319. The Braves have recorded 269 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 239 balls out of the park. They have 762 RBI's and 1,307 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is .244. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .435 and have been called out on strikes 1,453 times, while being walked on 549 occasions.

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Braves pitchers have given up 183 home runs and also 656 total runs (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 516 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a squad on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.75 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24. The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.88 so far this season (8th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,417 hitters.

Braves relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 129 times as well as having 221 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 113 holds on the year (2nd in the league). The Braves relievers have recorded a save percentage of 60.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 180 save situations. They have tallied 40 saves on the campaign and have blown 26 out of their 66 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 185 runners for the season with 33.0% of those runners crossed the plate. The Braves have dispatched 581 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Braves have transformed 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,696 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 5th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 4,232 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,483 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which puts them in 3rd in the majors, and have a total of 1,126 double plays.

Morton (107-95 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.72 and he has faced 6,956 batters in the majors. He has conceded 1,538 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 576 free passes. His ERA is 4.00 (722 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.301. Morton has pitched in 1,625 innings and has tallied 1,492 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .317 in addition to a team batting average of .233 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,465 occasions (8th in MLB) and have tallied 1,251 hits. Milwaukee has accumulated 194 home runs for the year as well as 700 RBIs. The Brewers have a team slugging % of .396 and they tally 4.56 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have recorded 255 doubles, while walking 586 times and recording 738 runs.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.179 in addition to having a FIP of 3.72 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.01 (1,618 strikeouts against 537 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 2nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,156. They have yielded 168 homers and they allow 3.90 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 623 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.50 (558 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 155 save situations, the Brewers have 80 holds in addition to 29 blown saves. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 73 save opportunities and they have converted 44 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 188 times in high leverage situations and on 105 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score rate of 35.5% out of their 152 inherited base runners. They sit at 18th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.3%, and they have dispatched 533 relievers to the hill on the season.

Out of their 12,924 innings played, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (4th in professional baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 102 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in baseball). The Brewers have recorded 1,331 assists, 94 errors and have 4,308 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Burnes has allowed 257 base knocks while accumulating 427 K's in 313 innings pitched. Burnes (23-11 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.39 ERA while surrendering 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 118 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.103 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.80 and he has gone up against 1,284 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-140)

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