Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, July 26, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+125) New York (-161)

Citi Field is the site where Anthony Banda and the New York Mets (51-44, 1st in NL East) will take on the Atlanta Braves (48-49, 2nd in NL East) on Monday. The Mets open this matchup at -161 while the Braves are priced at +125. The over/under opens at 6.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Kyle Muller and Anthony Banda.

The Braves have accounted for 168 doubles as a squad and have smacked 136 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta is slugging .429 and have been called out on strikes 888 times, while drawing a walk on 353 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.8 runs/g, which ranks them 8th in the league. They have amassed 448 runs batted in and 771 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .241. They have 467 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .323.

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The Braves have a team ERA of 4.17 for the year (15th in the league), and their staff has rung up 859 hitters. They have walked 335 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.14 as a team over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.56 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32. Braves pitchers have allowed 109 home runs in addition to 429 runs (13th in MLB).

Braves pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 87 times as well as having 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 62 holds on the year (5th in baseball). The Braves bullpen have a save rate of 57.1% and stepped onto the hill in 98 save situations. They have compiled 20 saves on the year and have blown 15 of 35 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 132 runners this year with 37.1% of those players crossed the plate. The Braves have dispatched 351 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Braves have converted 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,596 innings on the field, ranking them 18th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have 2,532 putouts thus far, as well as 864 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 4th in baseball, and they have twisted 689 double plays.

Muller (1-3 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.16 while facing 81 hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 11 base hits (5.0 hits per nine innings) with 11 free passes. His earned run average is 3.20 (7 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.119. Muller has thrown 19 frames and has racked up 23 K's so far in his career.

The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .315 as well as a team batting average of .235 on the year. They have struck out on 814 instances (23rd in MLB) and have recorded 708 base knocks. New York has tallied 106 long balls on the campaign to go along with 358 runs batted in. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .386 and they average 3.93 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have hit 123 doubles, while walking 304 times and notching 373 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.200 and have a FIP of 3.77 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 3.11 (864 strikeouts vs 278 free passes). They are currently ranked 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 683. They have allowed 98 long balls and they concede 4.07 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have allowed 362 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.53 (314 earned runs surrendered).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 111 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 92 times in high leverage situations and also on 74 occasions with base runners. With 84 save situations, the Mets have amassed 41 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They are currently ranked 9th in baseball holding a save rate of 64.3%, and they have dispatched 296 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. New York has had relievers enter the contest in 42 save chances and they have come away with 27 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 74 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (14th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 770 assists, 52 errors and have earned a total of 2,404 putouts so far this season. In 7,212 innings on the diamond, the Mets have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (13th in pro baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Banda has allowed 58 base hits while tallying 41 punch outs in 52 innings pitched. He has conceded 34 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.443 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.28 and he has gone up against 232 opposing hitters so far in his career. Banda (5-3 career mark) is the owner of a 5.81 ERA while surrendering 9.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+125)

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