Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, July 29, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+105) New York (-132)

Taijuan Walker and the New York Mets (53-46, 1st in NL East) host the Atlanta Braves (50-51, 3rd in NL East) at Citi Field on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Braves coming in at +105 and the Mets are at -132. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Drew Smyly and Taijuan Walker.

The Braves have accrued 175 doubles as a squad and have hit 141 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .428 and have struck out 927 times, while drawing a walk on 361 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.8 runs per contest, which has them at 11th in the league. They have compiled 463 runs batted in as well as 800 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average is .241. They have accounted for 482 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321.

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The Braves have a team ERA of 4.11 on the year (14th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 888 batters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.60 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.31. Braves pitchers have surrendered 113 home runs and 437 total runs (13th in MLB). They have walked 341 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.11 as a team this year.

The Braves relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 58.3% and has come into the game in 100 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 134 base runners so far this season with 36.6% of them ended up scoring. Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 88 times and also have had 142 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 357 relievers to the hill for the year. The relievers have tallied 63 holds so far this season (5th in the league). They have tallied 21 saves for the season and have blown 15 of their 36 save opportunities.

The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 2,622 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 894 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which is 4th in pro baseball, and have earned 720 double plays. The Braves have transformed 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,866 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 18th in professional baseball.

Smyly has pitched in 798 frames and has 791 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Smyly (42-38 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.25 and he has faced 3,353 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.15 (368 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.267. He has surrendered 754 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 258 walks.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .387 and they have an average of 3.88 runs per game (28th in baseball). They have recorded 131 doubles, while taking a walk 313 times and recording 384 runs. New York is sitting with 109 long balls so far this year to go along with 369 runs batted in. They have struck out on 838 occasions (24th in the league) and have tallied 738 hits. The New York Mets have accumulated an OBP of .316 in addition to a team batting average of .237 on the season.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.209 and have a FIP of 3.77 as a squad over the course of the season. They come in at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 717. The New York pitching staff have given up 380 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.59 (332 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.10 (900 strikeouts vs 290 walks). They have yielded 102 HR's and they allow 4.11 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

Sitting with 91 save situations, the Mets have recorded 45 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 45 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 98 times in high leverage situations in addition to 76 occasions with base runners. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.2% of 117 inherited base runners. They sit at 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 64.4%, and they have dispatched 307 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign.

Out of their 7,500 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (14th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 76 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (14th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 793 assists, 53 errors and have 2,500 putouts so far this year.

During his MLB career, Walker has surrendered 616 base knocks while he has accumulated 618 punch outs in 676 innings. Walker (42-38 career record) has earned a 3.78 earned run average and has conceded 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 284 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.237 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and he has faced 2,855 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-132)

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