Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Monday, July 5, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-200) Pittsburgh (+155)

Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves (40-42, 3rd in NL East) travel to PNC Park on Monday where they'll take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (29-53, 5th in NL Central). The Pirates open this contest at +155 while the Braves are priced at -200. The O/U opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Chad Kuhl.

Atlanta is slugging .423 and have been rung up 768 times, while drawing a walk on 296 occasions. They have accrued 367 runs batted in and 631 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .236. The Braves have accrued 133 doubles as a unit and have smacked 115 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 382 runs scored and have an OBP of .319. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, which has them at 10th in MLB.

Braves pitchers have conceded 95 home runs and 367 runs (17th in baseball). They have walked 277 batters and their FIP is 4.16 as a team for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 4.18 for the season (16th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 729 hitters.

The Braves have sent 297 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 116 base runners for the year and 39.7% of those runners crossed the plate. They have recorded 18 saves this season and have missed out on 13 of 31 chances to save the game. The Braves bullpen have a save percentage of 58.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 86 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 54 holds on the campaign (4th in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 75 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 2,139 putouts on the campaign, as well as 732 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which ranks 6th in professional baseball, and they have turned 580 double plays. The Braves have turned 69.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,417 innings, which has them sitting 15th in pro baseball.

Fried has taken the mound for 344 innings and has tallied 351 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Fried (31-15 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.73 while he has faced 1,456 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.64 (139 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.314. He has allowed 332 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 120 free passes.

Pittsburgh has accumulated 62 home runs for the season to go along with 267 runs batted in. They have recorded 122 two-baggers, while walking 251 times as well as scoring 283 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have compiled an OBP of .298 and a batting average of .227 for the year. The Pirates hold a slugging percentage of .351 and they earn 3.45 runs per outing (30th in MLB). They have struck out on 673 instances (26th in MLB) and have earned a total of 615 base knocks.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.356 in addition to having a FIP of 4.47 as a pitching staff this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.28 (668 strikeouts against 293 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 19th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 666. They have surrendered 98 long balls and they yield 5.10 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have yielded 401 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.82 (379 earned runs conceded).

Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.2% out of their 110 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 59 times in high leverage situations and also on 67 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 48 save situations, the Pirates have recorded 31 holds and 4 blown saves. They rank 4th in the league holding a save rate of 73.3%, and they have dispatched 283 relievers to the mound on the season. Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 15 save opportunities and they have earned 11 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have twisted 63 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (9th in MLB). The Pirates have accrued 730 assists, 43 errors and have earned 2,122 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 6,366 innings on the field, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in MLB).

In his career, Kuhl has given up 394 base knocks while he has earned 355 punch outs in 404 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 200 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.421 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.96 and he has gone up against 1,753 hitters in his career. Kuhl (22-28 mark in his career) holds a 4.45 earned run average and has conceded 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+155)

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