Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 4/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Friday, April 30, 2021
Location: TD Ballpark in Dunedin, FL
Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-115) Toronto (+105)
TD Ballpark is the venue where Robbie Ray and the Toronto Blue Jays (11-12, 3rd in AL East) will take on the Atlanta Braves (12-12, 1st in NL East) on Friday. The line on this matchup has the Braves priced at -115 and the Blue Jays are at +105. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Drew Smyly and Robbie Ray.
The Braves have accounted for 41 doubles as a team and have hit 36 baseballs out of the stadium. Atlanta is slugging .436 and have struck out 210 times, while being walked on 92 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 8th in the league. They have tallied 109 RBI's in addition to 180 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate is sitting at .234. They have 114 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .326.
The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.47 for the season (22nd in MLB), and their staff has struck out 232 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 86 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.31 as a team over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.70 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.32. Braves pitchers have conceded 32 long balls and also 110 runs (22nd in the league).
The Braves relievers have a save percentage of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 28 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 30 runners for the season and 20.0% of them ended up scoring. Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 18 times and also have had 41 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 84 relievers to the mound this season. The bullpen are sitting with 18 holds for the year (4th in the league). They have accumulated 6 saves on the year and have blown 3 of their 9 save chances.
The Braves have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,851 innings, ranking them 20th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned 617 putouts this year, in addition to 207 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which has them sitting 5th in MLB, and they have twisted 170 double plays.
Smyly has taken the hill for 725 frames and has totaled 729 punch outs so far in his career. His ERA is 4.19 (338 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.257. He has surrendered 684 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 228 walks. Smyly (35-36 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.20 and he has faced 3,038 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.
Toronto has 29 home runs so far this year to go along with 87 RBIs. They have recorded 23 doubles, while taking a walk 69 times and putting up 94 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a team OBP of .298 and a batting average of .226 over the course of the season. The Blue Jays hold a slugging percentage of .375 and they tally 4.09 runs per game (19th in MLB). They have been rung up on 202 instances (23rd in the league) and have a total of 171 base knocks.
The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.196 in addition to having a FIP of 4.10 as a pitching staff this year. They rank 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 173. The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 85 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.36 (74 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 3.03 (194 strikeouts against 64 walks). They have conceded 28 home runs and they allow 3.86 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).
Toronto relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.9% out of their 38 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 34 times in high leverage situations and on 28 occasions with runners on base. With 24 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 15 holds in addition to 1 blown save. They are currently ranked 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 85.7%, and they have dispatched 84 relievers to the hill on the year. Toronto has had relief pitchers take the mound in 7 save chances and they have earned 6 saves.
Out of their 1,788 innings played, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (12th in pro baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have twisted 24 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in the majors). The Blue Jays have accrued 219 assists, 15 errors and have amassed 596 putouts for the season.
Ray (49-52 career record) holds a 4.24 ERA while surrendering 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.58 and he has faced 3,715 hitters in his career. He has given up a total of 404 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.384 and a FIP of 4.2. So far in his pro baseball career, Ray has allowed 778 hits while tallying 1,057 strikeouts in 858 frames.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (-115) and over 8.5 runs
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