Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 7/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Thursday, July 29, 2021

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+115) Detroit (-147)

Comerica Park is the venue where Casey Mize and the Detroit Tigers (48-55, 3rd in AL Central) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (34-65, 5th in AL East) on Thursday. The Orioles open this game at +115 while the Tigers are coming in at -147. The over/under is set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Alexander Wells and Casey Mize.

As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 25th in the league. They have earned a total of 411 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .301. The Orioles have tallied 167 doubles as a squad and have hit 113 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 399 runs batted in and 784 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is .237. Baltimore has a slugging % of .396 and have been rung up 879 times, while drawing a walk on 277 occasions.

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Orioles pitchers have conceded 146 home runs and 545 runs (29th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 343 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.80 as a team so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.40 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.46. The Orioles hold a team earned run average of 5.46 on the season (30th in the league), and their staff has struck out 822 hitters.

The Orioles relievers have compiled a save rate of 51.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 72 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 202 base runners over the course of the season with 36.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. Orioles relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 130 times and also have had 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 331 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 40 holds on the year (28th in the league). They have tallied 16 saves so far this year and have not converted 15 of their 31 save opportunities.

The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 2,569 putouts for the season, as well as 806 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which ranks 5th in baseball, and they have turned 680 double plays. The Orioles have turned 67.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,707 innings, ranking them 28th in the majors.

Wells has taken the hill for 10 innings and has accounted for 8 strikeouts during his career. Wells (1-0 career mark) holds a FIP of 5.86 while facing 47 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.35 (5 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.548. He has surrendered 10 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 6 walks.

The Tigers hold a team slugging % of .397 and they score 4.30 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have recorded 132 doubles, while taking a walk 324 times and scoring 443 runs. Detroit is sitting with 120 long balls on the season to go along with 429 RBIs. They have struck out on 987 occasions (2nd in MLB) and have totaled 808 base knocks. The Detroit Tigers have a team OBP of .308 in addition to a batting average of .239 over the course of the season.

The Detroit pitching staff have allowed 500 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.59 (454 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 128 homers and they give up 5.05 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.351 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.58 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.29 (817 strikeouts against 356 walks). They come in at 24th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 848.

With 92 save situations, the Tigers have amassed 51 holds and also 14 blown saves. Detroit has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 37 save chances and they have recorded 23 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 98 times in high leverage situations and on 97 occasions with runners on. Detroit bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.4% out of their 155 inherited base runners. They are ranked 12th in MLB holding a save percentage of 62.2%, and they have sent 354 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Detroit Tigers have turned 87 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (12th in pro baseball). The Tigers have racked up 913 assists, 57 errors and have earned 2,673 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 8,019 innings on the field, the Tigers have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (15th in the majors).

Mize (5-8 record in his career) has a 4.35 earned run average while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 and he has gone up against 554 opposing batters so far in his career. He has given up 64 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.202 and having a FIP of 5.0. During his MLB career, Mize has given up 118 base hits while he has tallied 111 punch outs in 132 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+115)

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