Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Monday, July 19, 2021

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+175) Tampa Bay (-233)

Tropicana Field is the site where Ryan Yarbrough and the Tampa Bay Rays (54-38, 2nd in AL East) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (29-62, 5th in AL East) on Monday. The Orioles open this matchup at +175 while the Rays are priced at -233. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Spenser Watkins and Ryan Yarbrough.

The Orioles have earned 148 doubles as a squad and have hit 102 baseballs out of the stadium. Baltimore has a slugging % of .392 and have struck out 807 times, while taking a walk on 261 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.1 runs/g, which ranks them 22nd in the league. They have earned 362 runs batted in and 721 hits so far this season, while their batting average is .237. They have notched a total of 374 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .303.

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The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 5.63 this year (30th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 759 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.34 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.49. Orioles pitchers have yielded 136 home runs and 515 total runs (29th in baseball). They have walked 325 opposing players and their FIP is 4.86 as a team on the campaign.

The Orioles have sent 308 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 189 base runners this year with 38.1% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 15 saves this year and have not converted 14 of their 29 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 51.7% and has come into the game in 65 save situations. The bullpen have notched 35 holds on the season (28th in the league). Orioles bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 121 times and also have had 95 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have turned 67.2% of balls in play into outs out of 7,071 innings, which has them sitting 28th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have a tally of 2,357 putouts thus far, in addition to 746 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them sitting 5th in MLB, and have a total of 621 double plays.

Watkins has taken the mound for 10 innings and has accumulated 6 strikeouts in his career. Watkins (1-0 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.00 and he has faced 41 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 1.74 (2 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.258. He has given up 7 base hits (6.1 hits per nine innings) and has 6 free passes.

The Rays hold a team slugging % of .394 and they average 4.86 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have hit 160 doubles, while walking 350 times and putting up 447 runs. Tampa Bay has a total of 111 long balls on the season to go along with 425 runs batted in. They have struck out on 943 occasions (1st in MLB) and have accounted for 716 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have an OBP of .315 in addition to a batting average of .230 so far this season.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 370 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.59 (330 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 106 homers and they allow 4.02 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.140 in addition to having a FIP of 3.78 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.41 (865 strikeouts vs 254 bases on balls). They are sitting at 11th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 690.

Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.2% out of their 93 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 116 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with base runners. With 92 save situations, the Rays have recorded 54 holds and 11 blown saves. They are currently ranked 6th in MLB holding a save rate of 69.4%, and they have dispatched 295 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. Tampa Bay has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 36 save chances and they have come away with 25 saves.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 76 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (4th in professional baseball). The Rays have accrued 817 assists, 44 errors and have accumulated 2,484 putouts for the season. In 7,452 innings played, the Rays are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.1% (5th in professional baseball).

In his career, Yarbrough has given up 412 base hits and he has 368 strikeouts in 441 innings. He has conceded a total of 197 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.159 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.72 and he has faced 1,827 hitters in his career. Yarbrough (34-19 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.02 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+175)

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