Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-130) Baltimore (+120)

Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (4-3, 2nd in AL East) are headed to Oriole Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (4-3, 1st in AL East). The Red Sox open this game at -130 while the Orioles are priced at +120. The total is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Nick Pivetta and Jorge Lopez.

The Red Sox have recorded 21 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 6 balls out of the park. Boston has a slugging rate of .425 and have been called out on strikes 61 times, while being walked on 16 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.4 runs per game, which puts them at 9th in MLB. They have accounted for 34 RBI's as well as 66 hits for the year, while their average at the plate is .267. They have accounted for 38 runs scored and hold an OBP of .317.

The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 3.55 so far this season (13th in the league), and they have rung up 76 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.81 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 2 long balls and 30 total runs (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 27 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 2.57 as a team this year.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 9 times in addition to having 5 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 2 holds on the year (19th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game in 2 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 14 base runners over the course of the season with 50.0% of those runners crossed home plate. The Red Sox have sent 26 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

Pivetta has taken the mound for 411 innings and has 438 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Pivetta (22-30 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.60 and he has gone up against 1,790 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 5.34 (244 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.427. He has surrendered 430 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 157 walks.

The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .324 and they average 3.86 runs per contest (16th in baseball). They have hit 11 doubles, while taking a walk 16 times as well as scoring 27 runs. Baltimore has knocked in 5 home runs this year to go along with 25 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 91 instances (1st in the league) and have totaled 54 hits. The Baltimore Orioles have a team on-base percentage of .265 in addition to a batting average of .219 over the course of the season.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.286 and have a FIP of 3.90 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are sitting at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 58. The Baltimore pitching staff have yielded 29 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.00 (28 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.61 (60 strikeouts vs 23 bases on balls). They have surrendered 7 homers and they concede 4.14 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league).

Sitting with 8 save situations, the Orioles have accrued 3 holds and also 2 blown saves. Baltimore has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 5 save chances and they have converted 3 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 12 times in high leverage situations and also on 12 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score rate of 36.0% out of 22 inherited base runners. They are ranked 15th in the league holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 23 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Lopez has given up 264 base knocks and he has 190 strikeouts in 233 innings. Lopez (9-18 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 6.06 earned run average while surrendering 10.2 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 157 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.498 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.24 and he has faced 1,032 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-130)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here