Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 4/12/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Monday, April 12, 2021

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+115) Minnesota (-172)

Target Field is the venue where J.A. Happ and the Minnesota Twins (5-2, 1st in AL Central) will play the Boston Red Sox (4-3, 2nd in AL East) on Monday. The line on this contest has the Red Sox coming in at +115 and the Twins are at -172. The O/U opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Martin Perez and J.A. Happ.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are earning 5.4 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in the league. They have tallied 38 runs scored and have an OBP of .317. The Red Sox have recorded 21 doubles as a unit and have hit 6 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 34 runs batted in in addition to 66 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average sits at .267. Boston has a slugging rate of .425 and have struck out 61 times, while taking a walk on 16 occasions.

The Red Sox have compiled a team ERA of 3.55 on the season (13th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 76 hitters. They have walked 27 batters and their FIP sits at 2.57 as a unit for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.81 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have yielded 2 home runs in addition to 30 runs in total (16th in baseball).

Red Sox pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 9 times in addition to having 5 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 2 holds on the year (19th in baseball). The relief pitchers have inherited 14 runners this year and 50.0% of them crossed home plate. The Red Sox have dispatched 26 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

Perez (56-61 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.50 while he has faced 4,337 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,100 base knocks (10.0 hits per 9 innings) with 367 free passes. His earned run average is 4.71 (520 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.476. Perez has taken the mound for 993 innings and has earned 649 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Minnesota Twins hold a team OBP of .353 and a team batting average of .278 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 84 instances (3rd in the league) and have 71 hits. Minnesota has accounted for 11 home runs on the year to go along with 44 RBIs. The Twins have a SLG% of .494 and they average 6.57 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They have put up 20 doubles, while taking a walk 28 times as well as scoring 46 runs.

The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 22 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 2.14 (15 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 6 long balls and they give up 3.13 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The Twins have a WHIP of 1.076 in addition to having a FIP of 2.96 as a team this season. Their K/BB ratio is 4.28 (77 strikeouts against 18 free passes). They are currently ranked 19th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 50.

Minnesota has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 4 save opportunities and they have recorded 3 saves. They are currently ranked 8th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 23 relievers to the hill so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 11 times in high leverage situations and on 3 occasions with runners on. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 50.0% out of their 2 inherited runners. Sitting with 10 save situations, the Twins have 6 holds and also 1 blown save.

Happ (123-92 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.98 ERA and has given up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and he has faced 7,395 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 771 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.301 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. In his career, Happ has allowed 1,648 base hits while he has tallied 1,543 punch outs in 1,745 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-172)

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