Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Saturday, July 3, 2021
Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+110) Cincinnati (-135)
Great American Ball Park is the site where Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (40-40, 3rd in NL Central) will play the Chicago Cubs (42-39, 2nd in NL Central) on Saturday. The Reds open this matchup at -135 while the Cubs are coming in at +110. The O/U opens at 9. The starting pitchers will be Adbert Alzolay and Tyler Mahle.
The Cubs have compiled 99 doubles as a team and have hit 107 baseballs out of the park. Chicago owns a slugging percentage of .395 and have struck out 787 times, while being walked on 264 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.2 runs/g, which has them at 18th in the league. They have accumulated 326 RBI's in addition to 581 hits so far this year, while their batting average is sitting at .223. They have racked up 342 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304.
Cubs pitchers have yielded 98 home runs and also 344 runs (13th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 315 hitters and their FIP is 4.46 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.29 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31. The Cubs have a team earned run average of 3.97 for the year (13th in the league), and their staff has rung up 721 batters.
The Cubs have dispatched 300 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 123 runners on the season and 26.8% of them crossed home plate. They have tallied 23 saves on the season and have blown 7 of their 30 chances to get a save. The Cubs relievers have a save percentage of 76.7% and has come into the game in 88 save situations. The bullpen have 57 holds this year (1st in MLB). Cubs relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 80 times as well as having 91 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Chicago Cubs have amassed 2,133 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 777 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which puts them in 5th in the majors, and have a total of 511 double plays. The Cubs have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,399 innings, which has them sitting 7th in the majors.
Alzolay (6-9 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.86 and he has faced 415 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 77 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has 42 free passes. His earned run average is 4.55 (50 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.202. Alzolay has thrown 99 innings and has earned 112 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.
The Cincinnati Reds have tallied an on-base percentage of .331 in addition to a batting average of .251 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 698 occasions (18th in MLB) and have a total of 677 base knocks. Cincinnati has 106 home runs on the campaign as well as 381 runs batted in. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .422 and they score 4.97 runs per outing (5th in baseball). They have recorded 136 doubles, while taking a walk 279 times and earning 398 runs.
The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 402 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.68 (369 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 104 home runs and they relinquish 5.10 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.377 in addition to having a FIP of 4.41 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.36 (783 strikeouts vs 332 walks). They rank 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 646.
Sitting with 62 save situations, the Reds have earned 28 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 32 save opportunities and they have come away with 19 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 84 times in high leverage situations in addition to 87 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 42.0% out of 131 inherited base runners. They rank 19th in baseball holding a save rate of 59.4%, and they have dispatched 288 relief pitchers onto the field on the season.
The Cincinnati Reds have turned 47 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (19th in baseball). The Reds have 678 assists, 49 errors and have earned 2,130 putouts on the campaign. In their 6,390 innings on the field, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (21st in baseball).
Mahle (20-28 mark in his career) has earned a 4.48 ERA while giving up 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and he has faced 1,706 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 196 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.344 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. In his pro baseball career, Mahle has given up 383 hits while he has totaled 418 punch outs in 393 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+110)
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