Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, September 17, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+180) Milwaukee (-256)

American Family Field is the site where Adrian Houser and the Milwaukee Brewers (89-57, 1st in NL Central) will take on the Chicago Cubs (66-80, 4th in NL Central) on Friday. The line on this game has the Cubs priced at +180 and the Brewers are at -256. The O/U is set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Zach Davies and Adrian Houser.

The Cubs have hit 198 doubles as a unit and have smacked 193 baseballs out of the park. Chicago has a slugging rate of .405 and have struck out 1,439 times, while taking a walk on 431 occasions. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 21st in MLB. They have recorded 597 runs batted in and 1,110 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average comes in at .232. They have racked up 627 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .305.

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The Cubs are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.73 on the year (24th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,238 hitters. They have walked 534 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.81 as a squad on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.38. Cubs pitchers have allowed 209 home runs and also 737 total runs (26th in baseball).

The Cubs relievers have compiled a save rate of 74.0% and has come into the game in 122 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 248 runners on the year with 34.7% of those runners ended up scoring. Cubs pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 152 times and also have had 155 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 539 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have 71 holds for the year (15th in the league). They have accumulated 37 saves over the course of the season and have blown 13 out of their 50 save chances.

The Chicago Cubs have amassed 3,837 putouts on the year, as well as 1,413 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which is 10th in pro baseball, and have 936 double plays. The Cubs have converted 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,511 innings on the field, which has them ranked 20th in the majors.

Davies has taken the hill for 825 innings and is sitting with 606 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 4.07 (373 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.322. He has allowed 822 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 269 free passes. Davies (56-47 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.40 while facing 3,498 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Milwaukee has accumulated 176 home runs this season as well as 639 RBIs. They have hit 232 doubles, while getting a free base 524 times and scoring 674 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have a team on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .235 on the season. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .399 and they average 4.62 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have struck out on 1,333 occasions (7th in the league) and have totaled 1,141 base knocks.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.171 in addition to having a FIP of 3.65 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.98 (1,465 strikeouts vs 492 bases on balls). They are sitting at 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,027. They have yielded 144 dingers and they concede 3.75 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 541 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.36 (484 earned runs surrendered).

Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score rate of 35.0% out of their 137 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 176 times in high leverage situations and also on 95 occasions with runners on base. With 141 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 74 holds and 24 blown saves. They rank 12th in the league with a save percentage of 63.1%, and they have sent 481 relievers to the hill for the season. Milwaukee has called on relievers to take the mound in 65 save opportunities and they have tallied 41 saves.

In 11,673 innings played, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (5th in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 93 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in professional baseball). The Brewers have racked up 1,217 assists, 87 errors and have earned 3,891 putouts this year.

Houser (16-19 career record) is the owner of a 3.77 ERA and has conceded 8.1 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.14 and he has gone up against 1,311 opposing hitters in his career. He has surrendered a total of 130 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.308 and a FIP of 4.2. So far in his pro baseball career, Houser has surrendered 281 base knocks while accumulating 267 strikeouts in 310 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+180)

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