Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Tuesday, July 6, 2021

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-141) Kansas City (+110)

Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (43-40, 2nd in NL Central) go to Kauffman Stadium on Tuesday where they'll meet the Kansas City Royals (35-48, 4th in AL Central). The odds on this contest have the Reds coming in at -141 and the Royals are at +110. The O/U is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Luis Castillo and Kris Bubic.

The Reds have accrued 139 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 108 baseballs out of the stadium. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .418 and have been called out on strikes 726 times, while being walked on 283 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in MLB. They have accounted for 389 runs batted in as well as 693 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average sits at .249. They have racked up 406 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .329.

The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.57 so far this season (22nd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 813 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.39 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37. Reds pitchers have allowed 105 home runs and also 407 runs in total (23rd in the league). They have walked 340 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.33 as a squad for the season.

The Reds relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 62.9% and has entered the game in 69 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 135 runners on the year with 40.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 91 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 300 relievers to the hill this year. The relievers have a total of 32 holds so far this season (26th in the league). They have accumulated 22 saves for the season and have missed out on 13 of their 35 chances to get a save.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 2,211 putouts on the campaign, as well as 716 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them ranked 20th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 528 double plays. The Reds have turned 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,633 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 22nd in professional baseball.

Castillo has taken the hill for 610 frames and is sitting with 664 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.84 (260 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.211. He has given up 517 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) with 222 free passes. Castillo (35-43 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.79 and he has gone up against 2,540 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Royals have a team slugging percentage of .390 and they average 4.12 runs per outing (22nd in the league). They have 121 two-baggers, while taking a walk 228 times and racking up 342 runs. Kansas City has compiled 82 HRs for the year and 324 runs batted in. They have struck out on 674 occasions (29th in MLB) and have tallied 673 base knocks. The Kansas City Royals have an OBP of .306 as well as a team batting average of .245 this season.

The Royals have a WHIP of 1.467 in addition to having a FIP of 4.58 as a pitching staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.17 (717 strikeouts vs 330 walks). They rank 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 719. They have surrendered 105 HR's and they allow 5.32 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Kansas City pitching staff have yielded 423 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 5.02 (399 earned runs allowed).

Kansas City bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.5% out of their 120 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 73 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with base runners. With 71 save situations, the Royals have 40 holds and also 13 blown saves. They rank 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 58.1%, and they have sent 281 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Kansas City has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 31 save chances and they have come away with 18 saves.

The Kansas City Royals have turned 74 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (17th in professional baseball). The Royals have racked up 707 assists, 49 errors and have earned a total of 2,146 putouts for the year. Out of their 6,438 innings played, the Royals have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 67.3% (29th in MLB).

Bubic (3-10 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.66 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.90 and he has faced 451 hitters thus far in his career. He has given up 53 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.495 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.5. In his career, Bubic has conceded 104 hits while tallying 93 K's in 102 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+110)

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