Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 4/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum Sportsnet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+170) Los Angeles (-200)

Sonny Gray and the Cincinnati Reds (10-12, 5th in NL Central) are headed to Dodger Stadium on Wednesday where they'll meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (15-8, 1st in NL West). The odds on this matchup have the Reds priced at +170 and the Dodgers are at -200. The total has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Sonny Gray and Clayton Kershaw.

The Reds have accrued 37 doubles as a team and have smacked 34 balls out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .444 and have struck out 202 times, while being walked on 76 occasions. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are knocking in 5.6 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 1st in baseball. They have amassed 116 runs batted in as well as 185 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average is .247. They have earned a total of 122 runs and hold an OBP of .326.

The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 4.55 this year (23rd in the league), and they have rung up 214 hitters. They have walked 90 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.60 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.38 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.32. Reds pitchers have given up 32 home runs in addition to 109 total runs (26th in MLB).

The Reds bullpen have a save percentage of 37.5% and stepped onto the hill in 14 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 34 runners this season and 52.9% of those players crossed the plate. Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 24 times as well as having 21 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 77 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 6 holds so far this season (25th in baseball). They have earned 3 saves for the year and have blown 5 of their 8 chances to save the game.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned 588 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 188 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which puts them in 19th in pro baseball, and they have turned 134 double plays. The Reds have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,764 innings on the diamond, ranking them 14th in professional baseball.

Gray has pitched in 1,140 innings and has accumulated 1,078 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.57 (452 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.226. He has allowed 990 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 408 walks. Gray (75-64 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.67 while he has gone up against 4,752 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have accounted for an OBP of .345 and a batting average of .242 for the season. They have been rung up on 222 occasions (6th in MLB) and have earned 189 base hits. Los Angeles is sitting with 28 home runs over the course of the season and 106 RBIs. The Dodgers have a team slugging percentage of .416 and they score 4.87 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have recorded 40 two-baggers, while getting a free base 106 times and putting up 112 runs.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.076 in addition to having a FIP of 3.37 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.70 (233 strikeouts against 63 walks). They are currently ranked 10th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 163. They have surrendered 24 homers and they allow 3.51 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 82 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.00 (70 earned runs given up).

Los Angeles has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 14 save chances and they have earned 9 saves. They rank 14th in the league holding a save rate of 64.3%, and they have sent 73 relievers onto the field on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 41 times in high leverage situations in addition to 25 occasions with base runners. Los Angeles relievers have an inherited score percentage of 22.6% out of their 31 inherited base runners. With 36 save situations, the Dodgers have accumulated 21 holds and also 5 blown saves.

Out of their 1,893 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (6th in pro baseball). The Los Angeles Dodgers have twisted 12 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (20th in baseball). The Dodgers have 199 assists, 15 errors and have earned 631 putouts for the season.

So far in his career, Kershaw has allowed 1,782 hits while he has totaled 2,557 K's in 2,364 innings. He has given up 640 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.003 and a FIP of 2.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.34 and he has gone up against 9,304 hitters during his pro baseball career. Kershaw (178-78 career mark) has a 2.44 earned run average and has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+170)

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