Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 5/12/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, May 12, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-144) Pittsburgh (+133)

PNC Park is the site where Trevor Cahill and the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-20, 5th in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (16-16, 4th in NL Central) on Wednesday. The Pirates open this matchup at +133 while the Reds are coming in at -144. The over/under is set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Sonny Gray and Trevor Cahill.

The Reds have earned 56 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 46 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .433 and have struck out 302 times, while drawing a walk on 106 occasions. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 5.3 runs per outing, which has them at 1st in MLB. They have accumulated 161 RBI's and 269 hits on the year, and their team batting average comes in at .247. They have notched a total of 171 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .325.

Reds pitchers have relinquished 42 home runs and also 162 runs in total (23rd in baseball). They have walked 138 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.44 as a team on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.25 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.34. The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 4.69 for the season (26th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 311 batters.

The Reds have dispatched 113 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 52 base runners on the year with 44.2% of them crossed home plate. They have accumulated 5 saves this year and have blown 7 out of their 12 chances to get a save. The Reds bullpen have earned a save rate of 41.7% and has come into the game in 22 save situations. The relievers have racked up 10 holds over the course of the season (26th in the league). Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 36 times in addition to having 33 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have turned 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of 2,574 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 14th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have 858 putouts on the year, in addition to 287 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which is 17th in the majors, and have accumulated 194 double plays.

Gray (75-65 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.66 and he has faced 4,801 batters in the majors. He has conceded 996 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 413 walks. His ERA is 3.54 (454 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.222. Gray has taken the ball for 1,152 innings and has 1,097 K's thus far in his career.

Pittsburgh has tallied 23 HRs on the year and 111 runs batted in. They have recorded 57 doubles, while walking 114 times and earning 117 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied an OBP of .305 and a team batting average of .226 over the course of the season. The Pirates hold a team slugging percentage of .345 and they average 3.44 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 288 occasions (21st in baseball) and have totaled 253 base hits.

The Pirates are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.271 and have a FIP of 4.07 as a team on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.48 (283 strikeouts against 114 walks). They are sitting at 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 256. They have surrendered 35 HR's and they give up 4.95 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 160 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.55 (147 earned runs given up).

Sitting with 26 save situations, the Pirates have accumulated 17 holds and 1 blown save. Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 7 save chances and they have come away with 6 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 24 times in high leverage situations and also on 26 occasions with runners on base. Pittsburgh relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.2% out of 43 inherited base runners. They rank 4th in MLB with a save rate of 85.7%, and they have sent 116 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

Out of their 2,619 innings played, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (17th in pro baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 30 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (23rd in baseball). The Pirates have racked up 321 assists, 24 errors and have accumulated 873 putouts so far this season.

Cahill (86-98 career record) has earned a 4.25 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.88 and he has gone up against 6,426 batters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 708 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.368 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. In his MLB career, Cahill has given up 1,442 hits while earning 1,145 strikeouts in 1,500 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+133)

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