Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 9/15/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, September 15, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-167) Pittsburgh (+130)

PNC Park is the venue where Mitch Keller and the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-91, 5th in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (75-69, 2nd in NL Central) on Wednesday. The Reds open this matchup at -167 while the Pirates are priced at +130. The total opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Vladimir Gutierrez and Mitch Keller.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 9th in MLB. They have notched a total of 701 runs while holding a team OBP of .328. The Reds have hit 259 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 196 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 673 runs batted in as well as 1,198 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is sitting at .248. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .429 and have struck out 1,281 times, while drawing a walk on 490 occasions.

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Reds pitchers have allowed 186 long balls and 672 total runs (18th in MLB). They have walked 546 hitters and their FIP is 4.36 as a team this year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.48 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.35. The Reds have a team ERA of 4.36 so far this year (17th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,353 batters.

Reds pitchers have come into the game with runners on 145 times as well as having 171 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 66 holds on the year (17th in baseball). The Reds bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 60.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 132 save situations. They have earned 39 saves for the season and have blown 25 of their 64 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 219 runners on the campaign and 39.3% of them crossed home plate. The Reds have sent 505 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 3,827 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,256 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which puts them in 14th in pro baseball, and they have turned 935 double plays. The Reds have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,481 innings, ranking them 22nd in professional baseball.

Gutierrez has pitched in 104 innings and has 82 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 4.05 (47 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.304. He has given up 98 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 38 walks. Gutierrez (9-6 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 5.04 while facing 443 batters in the majors.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied an on-base percentage of .306 in addition to a team batting average of .234 so far this year. They have been rung up on 1,164 occasions (26th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,105 base hits. Pittsburgh has a total of 113 home runs this season and 494 runs batted in. The Pirates have a team slugging percentage of .363 and they earn 3.67 runs per game (30th in MLB). They have put up 216 two-baggers, while taking a walk 456 times and recording 525 runs.

The Pirates are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.428 and have a FIP of 4.72 as a unit so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.16 (1,151 strikeouts vs 532 walks). They rank 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,225. They have given up 186 long balls and they concede 5.37 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have given up 734 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 5.09 (696 earned runs conceded).

With 99 save situations, the Pirates have accrued 59 holds and also 16 blown saves. Pittsburgh has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 37 save chances and they have tallied 21 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 112 times in high leverage situations in addition to 106 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.9% out of their 177 inherited runners. They are ranked 24th in the league holding a save percentage of 56.8%, and they have sent 501 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 125 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in professional baseball). The Pirates have 1,232 assists, 65 errors and have earned a total of 3,691 putouts on the season. Out of their 11,073 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (24th in the majors).

During his MLB career, Keller has allowed 189 base hits while accumulating 163 K's in 152 innings pitched. Keller (6-17 career record) holds a 6.07 earned run average while allowing 11.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 103 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.716 and a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.23 and he has gone up against 703 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-167)

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