Cleveland Indians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cleveland Indians vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, April 17, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+118) Cincinnati (-128)

Great American Ball Park is the site where Sonny Gray and the Cincinnati Reds (7-5, 1st in NL Central) will take on the Cleveland Indians (7-5, 2nd in AL Central) on Saturday. The odds on this matchup have the Indians coming in at +118 and the Reds are at -128. The O/U opens at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Triston McKenzie and Sonny Gray.

Cleveland has a slugging percentage of .369 and have struck out 99 times, while being walked on 39 occasions. They have 43 RBI's and 75 hits for the year, and their batting average comes in at .198. The Indians have earned 17 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 16 balls out of the park. They have tallied 46 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .275. As a unit, the Cleveland Indians are notching 3.8 runs per contest, which is 25th in the league.

The Indians have an earned run average of 2.91 on the year (4th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 114 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.92 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.03. Indians pitchers have surrendered 11 home runs in addition to 36 total runs (3rd in the league). They have walked 39 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.61 as a team this season.

Indians relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 6 times and also have had 8 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 5 holds for the year (16th in the league). The Indians relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 83.3% and has entered the game in 11 save situations. They have compiled 5 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 1 of 6 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 9 runners for the season and 33.3% of those runners crossed the plate. The Indians have sent 33 relievers to the mound for the year.

McKenzie (2-1 career record) has a FIP of 3.98 and he has gone up against 158 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 25 base hits (5.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 15 free passes. His ERA is 3.51 (16 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.976. McKenzie has taken the mound for 41 innings and is sitting with 53 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Reds hold a slugging % of .479 and they average 6.25 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have hit 23 doubles, while taking a walk 37 times as well as racking up 75 runs. Cincinnati has compiled 20 home runs for the year as well as 71 runs batted in. They have struck out on 99 occasions (25th in baseball) and have accounted for 107 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have earned a team OBP of .336 as well as a team batting average of .264 on the season.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.248 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.44 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.70 (119 strikeouts against 44 free passes). They are currently ranked 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 87. They have given up 18 long balls and they surrender 4.80 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 56 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.46 (52 earned runs relinquished).

Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 5 save opportunities and they have earned 3 saves. They are currently ranked 16th in the league with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 39 relief pitchers onto the field so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 10 times in high leverage situations and also on 12 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 52.9% out of their 17 inherited runners. Sitting with 9 save situations, the Reds have tallied 4 holds and also 2 blown saves.

So far in his MLB career, Gray has given up 978 hits while earning 1,066 strikeouts in 1,132 innings. He has surrendered a total of 445 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.220 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and he has gone up against 4,711 opposing hitters in his career. Gray (75-63 career mark) is the owner of a 3.54 earned run average and has given up 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (+118)

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