Cleveland Indians vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cleveland Indians vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, July 19, 2021

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+175) Houston (-233)

J.C. Mejia and the Cleveland Indians (46-43, 2nd in AL Central) head to Minute Maid Park on Monday where they'll meet the Houston Astros (56-37, 1st in AL West). The Astros open this matchup at -233 while the Indians are coming in at +175. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be J.C. Mejia and Luis Garcia.

As a squad, the Cleveland Indians are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in baseball. They have tallied 386 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .298. The Indians have hit 130 doubles as a unit and have knocked 111 balls out of the park. They have amassed 367 runs batted in in addition to 663 hits this year, and their average at the plate sits at .230. Cleveland has a slugging percentage of .399 and have been called out on strikes 753 times, while being walked on 249 occasions.

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The Indians are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.40 this season (19th in the league), and their staff has rung up 835 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 318 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.30 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.63 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31. Indians pitchers have given up 115 home runs in addition to 402 total runs (13th in MLB).

The Indians have sent 297 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 111 runners so far this year and 31.5% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 23 saves so far this year and have not converted 9 of 32 save chances. The Indians bullpen have a save percentage of 71.9% and has come into the game in 75 save situations. The bullpen have 41 holds for the season (18th in the league). Indians relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 78 times and also have had 88 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Indians have transformed 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,921 innings, ranking them 16th in the majors. The Cleveland Indians have amassed 2,307 putouts so far this season, as well as 756 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which ranks 9th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 614 double plays.

Mejia has taken the ball for 30 innings and has totaled 27 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 7.42 (25 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.352. He has given up 30 base hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 11 free passes. Mejia (1-4 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.71 while he has gone up against 128 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Houston has tallied 118 home runs on the year as well as 483 runs batted in. They have recorded 172 doubles, while getting a free base 342 times and recording 504 runs. The Houston Astros have earned an OBP of .342 in addition to a batting average of .267 for the year. The Astros hold a team slugging percentage of .437 and they score 5.42 runs per outing (1st in baseball). They have struck out on 692 occasions (30th in the league) and have notched a total of 851 hits.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.198 in addition to having a FIP of 4.11 as a team over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 (834 strikeouts vs 308 walks). They are currently ranked 9th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 686. They have yielded 109 home runs and they yield 4.02 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Houston pitching staff have conceded 371 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.64 (336 earned runs yielded).

Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.5% out of their 119 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 89 times in high leverage situations and also on 78 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 75 save situations, the Astros have amassed 39 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They rank 18th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 277 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. Houston has had relievers step onto the mound in 35 save chances and they have tallied 21 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 72 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (1st in baseball). The Astros have racked up 785 assists, 39 errors and have earned 2,490 putouts for the season. In 7,470 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 72.2% (1st in professional baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Garcia has allowed 72 hits while he has earned 106 punch outs in 97 frames. Garcia (6-6 career mark) holds a 3.04 earned run average while giving up 6.6 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 33 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.085 and having a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.12 and he has gone up against 396 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (+175)

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