Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+155) Cincinnati (-200)

Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (72-63, 2nd in NL Central) host the Detroit Tigers (63-72, 3rd in AL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. The Tigers open this contest at +155 while the Reds are priced at -200. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Matthew Boyd and Tyler Mahle.

The Tigers have earned 191 doubles as a team and have hit 150 balls out of the park. Detroit owns a slugging percentage of .398 and have struck out 1,261 times, while taking a walk on 401 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.3 runs/g, which has them sitting at 20th in the league. They have amassed 554 RBI's in addition to 1,067 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .241. They have tallied 574 runs scored while having a team OBP of .306.

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The Tigers have an earned run average of 4.40 so far this season (20th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,052 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 459 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.66 as a team for the year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.29 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36. Tigers pitchers have relinquished 175 home runs and 641 runs (21st in baseball).

The Tigers have sent 472 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 194 base runners this season with 36.6% of those players crossed home plate. They have compiled 33 saves this season and have not converted 16 of 49 save chances. The Tigers relievers have a save percentage of 67.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 62 holds this year (18th in baseball). Tigers bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 125 times in addition to having 135 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Detroit Tigers have 3,515 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,226 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them ranked 17th in MLB, and they have turned 956 double plays. The Tigers have converted 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 10,545 innings, which ranks them 17th in professional baseball.

Boyd has taken the mound for 780 innings and has accounted for 753 strikeouts thus far in his career. Boyd (37-61 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.69 while he has gone up against 3,353 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.92 (427 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.323. He has conceded 786 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 246 free passes.

Cincinnati has recorded 186 home runs this season as well as 646 RBIs. They have tallied 246 two-baggers, while walking 464 times as well as scoring 672 runs. The Cincinnati Reds hold an on-base percentage of .330 and a batting average of .250 for the season. The Reds have a team slugging % of .432 and they average 4.98 runs per game (6th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,219 occasions (10th in the league) and have tallied 1,134 hits.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.361 and have a FIP of 4.36 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.40 (1,267 strikeouts against 529 free passes). They come in at 18th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,100. They have relinquished 170 long balls and they surrender 4.72 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 628 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.35 (579 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 126 save situations, the Reds have tallied 63 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 61 save chances and they have walked away with 36 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 160 times in high leverage situations in addition to 141 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.6% of 215 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball with a save rate of 59.0%, and they have dispatched 479 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

Out of their 10,779 innings on the diamond, the Reds are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.1% (22nd in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 107 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (12th in baseball). The Reds have 1,183 assists, 71 errors and have notched a total of 3,593 putouts so far this year.

During his MLB career, Mahle has given up 440 base knocks while tallying 487 punch outs in 457 innings. Mahle (23-30 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.35 ERA and has surrendered 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 221 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.328 and having a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.90 and he has gone up against 1,976 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-200)

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