Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 4/12/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, April 12, 2021

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+180) Houston (-286)

Zack Greinke and the Houston Astros (6-2, 1st in AL West) host the Detroit Tigers (3-4, 5th in AL Central) at Minute Maid Park on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Tigers coming in at +180 and the Astros are at -286. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Casey Mize and Zack Greinke.

The Tigers have tallied 7 doubles as a team and have knocked 8 baseballs out of the park. Detroit has a slugging % of .368 and have struck out 70 times, while being walked on 22 occasions. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are putting up 3.4 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball. They have accumulated 24 runs batted in in addition to 47 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .211. They have a total of 24 runs scored and have an OBP of .280.

Tigers pitchers have conceded 11 home runs in addition to 38 runs in total (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 26 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.72 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.42 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.37. The Tigers have a team earned run average of 5.29 on the year (25th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 63 hitters.

The Tigers bullpen have a save percentage of 50.0% and has entered the game in 9 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 6 base runners so far this season and 50.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Tigers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 4 times and also have had 4 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have dispatched 22 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have racked up 5 holds for the season (7th in the league). They have earned 2 saves this season and have not converted 2 out of their 4 save opportunities.

Mize has taken the ball for 32 innings and has accumulated 30 K's so far in his MLB career. Mize (0-3 career record) has earned a FIP of 6.00 while he has faced 152 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 6.40 (23 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.515. He has given up 34 base hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 15 free passes.

The Astros have a team SLG% of .502 and they are scoring 6.62 runs per contest (2nd in MLB). They have notched 18 two-baggers, while walking 28 times as well as earning 53 runs. Houston has accumulated 15 home runs this year as well as 49 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 62 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have earned 81 hits. The Houston Astros have accounted for a team OBP of .350 as well as a batting average of .282 so far this year.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 26 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.04 (24 earned runs allowed). They have yielded 6 dingers and they give up 3.30 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.099 and have a FIP of 3.83 as a staff on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.41 (65 strikeouts vs 27 free passes). They come in at 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 51.

Sitting with 10 save situations, the Astros have recorded 7 holds and also 1 blown save. Houston has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 2 save opportunities and they have earned 1 save. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 8 times in high leverage situations and on 8 occasions with runners on base. Houston relievers have an inherited score rate of 29.0% of 17 inherited base runners. They rank 19th in baseball with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 27 relievers to the mound on the year.

Greinke (209-126 mark in his career) holds a 3.36 ERA while surrendering 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.98 and he has gone up against 12,047 hitters so far in his career. He has allowed 1,102 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.156 and a FIP of 3.4. During his career, Greinke has conceded 2,736 hits while he has tallied 2,697 strikeouts in 2,952 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-286)

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