Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, June 10, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-120) Boston (-105)

Eduardo Rodriguez and the Boston Red Sox (37-24, 2nd in AL East) play the Houston Astros (34-26, 2nd in AL West) at Fenway Park on Thursday. The Red Sox open this game at -105 while the Astros are coming in at -120. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Zack Greinke and Eduardo Rodriguez.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are notching 5.3 runs per outing, which ranks them 1st in MLB. They have 313 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .339. The Astros have hit 112 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 68 baseballs out of the park. They have 294 runs batted in and 545 hits on the campaign, and their batting average is .268. Houston has a slugging % of .428 and have struck out 414 times, while being walked on 205 occasions.

The Astros hold a team earned run average of 3.79 so far this season (10th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 532 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 199 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.20 as a unit on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20. Astros pitchers have allowed 73 home runs and 244 runs (10th in the league).

Astros bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 54 times and also have had 61 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 27 holds on the campaign (17th in baseball). The Astros bullpen have earned a save percentage of 54.5% and has entered the game in 50 save situations. They have 12 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 10 of 22 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 85 runners on the season with 40.0% of those runners ended up scoring. The Astros have dispatched 184 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Astros have transformed 72.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 4,767 innings on the field, ranking them 1st in pro baseball. The Houston Astros have a tally of 1,589 putouts so far this season, as well as 499 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .990 which ranks 2nd in the majors, and have earned 434 double plays.

Greinke has thrown 3,021 innings and has racked up 2,749 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.37 (1,131 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.156. He has given up 2,802 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 692 walks. Greinke (214-128 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.38 and he has faced 12,328 hitters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .258 for the year. They have struck out on 528 occasions (15th in the league) and are sitting with 524 base hits. Boston has recorded 74 HRs over the course of the season and 277 RBIs. The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .438 and they are scoring 4.98 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have recorded 136 two-baggers, while taking a walk 160 times as well as recording 299 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.342 in addition to having a FIP of 3.42 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.75 (572 strikeouts against 208 free passes). They are currently ranked 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 498. They have surrendered 44 dingers and they allow 4.19 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have given up 245 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.81 (223 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 71 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 41 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to enter the contest in 29 save opportunities and they have tallied 20 saves. Their relievers have come in 73 times in high leverage situations and on 58 occasions with base runners. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.5% of 92 inherited base runners. They rank 8th in the league with a save rate of 69.0%, and they have dispatched 192 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season.

The Boston Red Sox have twisted 56 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (25th in MLB). The Red Sox have 535 assists, 40 errors and have accounted for 1,579 putouts for the year. In 4,737 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 65.8% (30th in pro baseball).

Rodriguez (56-35 career mark) holds a 4.15 earned run average while conceding 8.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.96 and he has gone up against 3,223 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded 349 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.305 and having a FIP of 3.9. In his career, Rodriguez has given up 727 hits while he has totaled 772 K's in 757 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-105)

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