Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/13/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Monday, September 13, 2021

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-256) Texas (+190)

Jake Odorizzi and the Houston Astros (82-59, 1st in AL West) travel to Globe Life Field on Monday where they'll take on the Texas Rangers (52-89, 5th in AL West). The Rangers open this matchup at +190 while the Astros are priced at -256. The O/U has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Jake Odorizzi and A.J. Alexy.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are earning 5.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 2nd in baseball. They have earned a total of 743 runs scored and have an OBP of .339. The Astros have compiled 269 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 180 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 715 RBI's in addition to 1,303 hits for the year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .268. Houston is slugging .440 and have struck out 1,060 times, while taking a walk on 496 occasions.

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Astros pitchers have conceded 165 home runs in addition to 567 runs in total (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 472 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.11 as a team so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. The Astros hold a team ERA of 3.74 for the season (4th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,278 hitters.

The Astros have sent 439 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 177 base runners for the season and 36.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have 31 saves for the year and have blown 22 out of their 53 save opportunities. The Astros bullpen have a save rate of 58.5% and has entered the game in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 61 holds for the year (23rd in baseball). Astros relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 120 times as well as having 139 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have turned 71.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,298 innings on the field, which has them ranked 2nd in MLB. The Houston Astros have earned a total of 3,766 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,222 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them sitting 1st in MLB, and have earned 1,019 double plays.

Odorizzi has taken the ball for 1,137 innings and has 1,080 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.95 (499 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.237. He has given up 1,018 base hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 389 free passes. Odorizzi (68-63 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.16 while he has gone up against 4,778 batters in the major leagues.

Texas has compiled 152 home runs so far this year as well as 528 RBIs. They have notched 198 doubles, while taking a walk 379 times and recording 554 runs. The Texas Rangers have earned a team on-base percentage of .294 in addition to a team batting average of .231 on the year. The Rangers have a team slugging % of .378 and they are earning 3.93 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have struck out on 1,208 instances (20th in the league) and have tallied 1,086 base hits.

The Rangers have a team WHIP of 1.339 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.73 as a staff on the year. They are sitting at 26th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,221. The Texas pitching staff have given up 696 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.67 (643 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.46 (1,079 strikeouts vs 439 free passes). They have yielded 203 homers and they relinquish 5.05 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB).

Texas bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.2% out of their 193 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 120 times in high leverage situations in addition to 126 occasions with runners on base. With 103 save situations, the Rangers have tallied 57 holds and 19 blown saves. They are ranked 23rd in baseball holding a save rate of 56.8%, and they have sent 437 relief pitchers onto the field this season. Texas has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 44 save opportunities and they have tallied 25 saves.

In 11,163 innings on the field, the Rangers are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (12th in professional baseball). The Texas Rangers have turned 122 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in pro baseball). The Rangers have 1,264 assists, 76 errors and have accumulated 3,721 putouts so far this season.

So far in his MLB career, Alexy has conceded 2 base knocks and he has 11 punch outs in 11 innings. Alexy (2-0 career mark) has a 0.00 earned run average while giving up 1.6 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 0 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.636 and a FIP of 2.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and he has gone up against 38 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-256)

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