Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Friday, September 10, 2021
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: Bally Sports South
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+190) Atlanta (-256)
Truist Park is the site where Ian Anderson and the Atlanta Braves (73-65, 1st in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (58-81, 4th in NL East) on Friday. The line on this contest has the Marlins coming in at +190 and the Braves are at -256. The O/U opens at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Trevor Rogers and Ian Anderson.
Miami has a slugging rate of .373 and have struck out 1,336 times, while drawing a walk on 400 occasions. They have amassed 525 RBI's as well as 1,084 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .235. The Marlins have earned 204 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 132 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 550 runs and have an on-base percentage of .302. As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 27th in baseball.
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Marlins pitchers have allowed 141 home runs and 587 total runs (13th in the league). They have walked 446 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.03 as a team so far this year. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.63 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 3.89 on the campaign (11th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,173 batters.
The Marlins bullpen have recorded a save rate of 52.0% and has come into the game in 114 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 160 runners so far this season with 36.9% of those runners crossed home plate. Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 106 times as well as having 155 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 507 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relievers have recorded 64 holds for the season (19th in the league). They have earned 26 saves this year and have not converted 24 of 50 save opportunities.
The Miami Marlins have a total of 3,650 putouts thus far, as well as 1,247 assists and 99 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .980 which puts them in 30th in the majors, and have earned 951 double plays. The Marlins have converted 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,950 innings on the field, ranking them 17th in baseball.
Rogers (8-8 career mark) has a FIP of 3.06 while going up against 601 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 122 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 55 free passes. His ERA is 3.22 (51 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.244. Rogers has taken the mound for 142 innings and has accumulated 171 K's during his MLB career.
The Atlanta Braves hold an OBP of .320 and a batting average of .242 on the year. They have struck out on 1,228 occasions (12th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,106 hits. Atlanta has hit 206 home runs on the year and 648 runs batted in. The Braves hold a slugging percentage of .433 and they earn 4.88 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have tallied 220 two-baggers, while taking a walk 486 times as well as racking up 673 runs.
The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 578 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.00 (534 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 159 long balls and they allow 4.32 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.270 with a FIP of 4.13 as a unit so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 (1,217 strikeouts vs 448 free passes). They rank 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,080.
Sitting with 153 save situations, the Braves have earned 99 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 53 save chances and they have earned 33 saves. Their relievers have come in 190 times in high leverage situations and on 111 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.8% out of their 164 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 13th in the league holding a save percentage of 62.3%, and they have sent 491 relievers to the mound on the season.
Out of their 10,827 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (8th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 90 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in professional baseball). The Braves have recorded 1,259 assists, 61 errors and are sitting with 3,609 putouts so far this season.
During his career, Anderson has surrendered 111 base knocks and he has 139 punch outs in 137 innings pitched. Anderson (9-7 career mark) has earned a 3.22 ERA and has conceded 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 49 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.241 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and he has gone up against 580 batters so far in his career.
Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-256)
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Additional Resources:
Atlanta Braves - Twitter
Miami Marlins - Twitter