Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/12/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, September 12, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+200) Atlanta (-270)

Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves (75-65, 1st in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (59-82, 4th in NL East) at Truist Park on Sunday. The Braves open this contest at -270 while the Marlins are coming in at +200. The over/under opens at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Edward Cabrera and Max Fried.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, which is 27th in the league. They are sitting with 555 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .302. The Marlins have hit 204 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 134 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 529 RBI's in addition to 1,098 base knocks this season, while their team batting average is at .235. Miami is slugging .372 and have been rung up 1,360 times, while drawing a walk on 402 occasions.

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The Marlins have an ERA of 3.88 on the year (11th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,196 hitters. They have walked 455 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.01 as a squad so far this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.63 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 142 long balls and 595 runs (13th in MLB).

The Marlins bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 52.9% and stepped onto the hill in 115 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 166 base runners on the campaign with 37.3% of them crossed the plate. Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 109 times and also have had 159 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 515 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen have tallied 64 holds for the season (19th in the league). They have compiled 27 saves on the season and have missed out on 24 out of their 51 save opportunities.

The Marlins have converted 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,103 innings on the field, which has them sitting 17th in baseball. The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 3,701 putouts for the season, as well as 1,263 assists and 101 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .980 which has them sitting 30th in pro baseball, and have 963 double plays.

Cabrera has taken the hill for 12 frames and has accounted for 5 strikeouts in his career. Cabrera (0-1 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 9.08 and he has gone up against 54 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 7.11 (10 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.500. He has given up 12 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 7 free passes.

The Braves have a team SLG% of .434 and they tally 4.90 runs per game (8th in the league). They have 224 doubles, while getting a free base 494 times and putting up 686 runs. Atlanta has compiled 211 long balls on the year to go along with 659 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,249 occasions (12th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,123 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have a team OBP of .320 and a batting average of .242 for the season.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.268 in addition to having a FIP of 4.10 as a unit for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 (1,243 strikeouts against 454 walks). They are sitting at 12th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,096. They have yielded 161 homers and they relinquish 4.32 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 586 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.99 (542 earned runs relinquished).

Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.5% out of 168 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 196 times in high leverage situations in addition to 114 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 160 save situations, the Braves have 103 holds and also 23 blown saves. They sit at 21st in MLB with a save rate of 58.9%, and they have dispatched 502 relievers onto the diamond on the season. Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 56 save chances and they have walked away with 33 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 90 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (3rd in pro baseball). The Braves have recorded 1,275 assists, 64 errors and have earned a total of 3,666 putouts for the year. Out of their 10,998 innings played, the Braves have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.1% (9th in MLB).

So far in his career, Fried has allowed 397 hits while earning 425 strikeouts in 418 innings pitched. Fried (37-18 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.49 ERA and has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 162 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.278 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.10 and he has faced 1,754 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-270)

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