Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/2/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
Date: Thursday, September 2, 2021
Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+145) New York (-192)
Carlos Carrasco and the New York Mets (65-67, 3rd in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (55-78, 5th in NL East) at Citi Field on Thursday. The Mets open this game at -192 while the Marlins are coming in at +145. The over/under opens at 7. The starting pitchers will be Zach Thompson and Carlos Carrasco.
The Marlins have earned 196 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 128 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging % of .376 and have been called out on strikes 1,274 times, while drawing a walk on 382 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.0 runs/g, which puts them at 27th in the league. They have recorded 501 runs batted in and 1,043 hits so far this season, while their batting average comes in at .237. They have accumulated 525 runs while holding a team OBP of .304.
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Marlins pitchers have conceded 133 home runs and 564 total runs (14th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 430 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.01 as a team on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.27. The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 3.93 on the season (12th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,123 hitters.
The Marlins have sent 485 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 150 runners so far this season and 38.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 25 saves this year and have blown 24 of 49 save opportunities. The Marlins bullpen have recorded a save rate of 51.0% and stepped onto the hill in 113 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 64 holds for the year (16th in MLB). Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 98 times as well as having 139 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 3,485 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,190 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which ranks 28th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 914 double plays. The Marlins have turned 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,455 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 19th in MLB.
Thompson (2-6 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.89 while facing 257 opposing hitters in the majors. He has conceded 48 base knocks (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 22 free passes. His ERA is 3.16 (22 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.117. Thompson has taken the mound for 62 frames and has 52 strikeouts so far in his career.
The New York Mets have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .236 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,122 occasions (20th in the league) and have 995 hits. New York has accumulated 140 long balls on the year and 473 RBIs. The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .383 and they earn 3.77 runs per game (29th in baseball). They have put up 180 doubles, while walking 401 times as well as earning 497 runs.
The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.205 with a FIP of 3.93 as a squad over the course of the season. They rank 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 971. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 522 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.75 (466 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.15 (1,187 strikeouts vs 377 walks). They have yielded 149 homers and they give up 4.20 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).
With 113 save situations, the Mets have earned 56 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 55 save opportunities and they have walked away with 35 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 130 times in high leverage situations and also on 105 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.9% of 160 inherited runners. They sit at 10th in baseball holding a save rate of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 428 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign.
In 10,074 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (8th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have turned 98 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,061 assists, 67 errors and have earned a total of 3,358 putouts this year.
Carrasco (88-75 career mark) has a 3.83 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.09 and he has gone up against 5,215 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up 538 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.198 and a FIP of 3.5. In his MLB career, Carrasco has surrendered 1,191 base knocks while he has tallied 1,328 strikeouts in 1,265 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+145)
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