Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/16/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, July 16, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (39-50, 5th in NL East) head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Phillies (44-44, 2nd in NL East).

Miami has a slugging % of .372 and have been called out on strikes 866 times, while being walked on 267 occasions. They have recorded 334 RBI's in addition to 691 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average sits at .233. The Marlins have tallied 119 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 88 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 353 runs and have an on-base percentage of .302. As a team, the Miami Marlins are earning 4.0 runs per game, which ranks them 28th in baseball.

The Marlins have a team ERA of 3.43 over the course of the season (5th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 779 hitters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.86 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Marlins pitchers have conceded 72 home runs and 336 runs in total (4th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 272 batters and their FIP is 3.58 as a unit this year.

Marlins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 60 times in addition to having 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 43 holds so far this season (15th in the league). The Marlins bullpen have earned a save rate of 47.1% and has entered the game in 77 save situations. They have earned 16 saves this year and have missed out on 18 of their 34 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 87 runners over the course of the season with 36.8% of them crossed the plate. The Marlins have sent 321 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Miami Marlins have 2,353 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 781 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .981 which ranks 27th in baseball, and have a total of 608 double plays. The Marlins have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,059 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 13th in professional baseball.

Alcantara has taken the mound for 398 innings and has earned 332 strikeouts thus far in his career. Alcantara (16-27 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.21 while he has gone up against 1,671 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.52 (156 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.265. He has allowed 345 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 159 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies hold an OBP of .316 and a batting average of .240 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 826 occasions (10th in baseball) and have recorded 704 base hits. Philadelphia has compiled 102 home runs over the course of the season as well as 384 runs batted in. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .400 and they average 4.57 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have recorded 140 two-baggers, while getting a free base 297 times and putting up 402 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.301 and have a FIP of 4.17 as a team on the season. They rank 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 731. The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 411 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.39 (375 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.00 (809 strikeouts against 270 walks). They have relinquished 112 homers and they relinquish 4.81 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB).

Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 42 save chances and they have converted 20 saves. They rank 28th in the league holding a save percentage of 47.6%, and they have sent 277 relievers onto the diamond on the season. Their relievers have come in 100 times in high leverage situations in addition to 78 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 44.0% out of 116 inherited runners. Sitting with 82 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 37 holds in addition to 22 blown saves.

In their 6,927 innings on the diamond, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (24th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 81 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (17th in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 778 assists, 52 errors and have accumulated 2,309 putouts over the course of the season.

During his MLB career, Nola has allowed 823 base knocks while he has totaled 1,048 strikeouts in 944 innings. He has given up a total of 376 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.169 and a FIP of 3.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.73 and he has faced 3,893 hitters during his career. Nola (64-45 career mark) has a 3.58 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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