Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, October 11, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+100) Atlanta (-110)

Truist Park is the site where Ian Anderson and the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) will play the Milwaukee Brewers (95-67, 1st in NL Central) on Monday in Game 3 of the NLDS. The series is tied 1-1. The Brewers open this contest at +100 while the Braves are coming in at -110. The O/U is set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Freddy Peralta and Ian Anderson.

Milwaukee is slugging .396 and have been called out on strikes 1,465 times, while being walked on 586 occasions. They have 700 RBI's in addition to 1,251 hits on the year, and their batting average is .233. The Brewers have hit 255 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 194 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 738 runs scored and hold an OBP of .317. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in MLB.

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Brewers pitchers have surrendered 168 home runs and 623 total runs (3rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 537 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.72 as a team this season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.18. The Brewers have a team earned run average of 3.50 for the season (3rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,618 hitters.

The Brewers bullpen have compiled a save rate of 60.3% and has entered the game in 155 save situations. The relievers have inherited 152 runners on the year and 35.5% of those players crossed home plate. Brewers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 105 times in addition to having 188 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 533 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have 80 holds so far this season (14th in the league). They have earned 44 saves this year and have not converted 29 of their 73 save opportunities.

The Milwaukee Brewers have 4,308 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,331 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which has them sitting 22nd in professional baseball, and they have turned 1,041 double plays. The Brewers have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,924 innings on the diamond, ranking them 4th in the majors.

Peralta (26-13 career record) has a FIP of 3.47 while facing 1,408 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 242 hits (6.5 hits per 9 innings) with 145 free passes. His earned run average is 3.87 (145 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.148. Peralta has taken the hill for 337 innings and is sitting with 453 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .435 and they are earning 4.91 runs per outing (7th in baseball). They have put up 269 doubles, while walking 549 times as well as scoring 790 runs. Atlanta has knocked in 239 home runs so far this year and 762 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,453 occasions (11th in MLB) and have totaled 1,307 base knocks. The Atlanta Braves have earned a team OBP of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .244 on the year.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.242 and have a FIP of 4.09 as a unit so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.75 (1,417 strikeouts against 516 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,236. They have given up 183 homers and they give up 4.19 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 656 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.88 (608 earned runs yielded).

Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of their 185 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 221 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with runners on. With 180 save situations, the Braves have tallied 113 holds and 26 blown saves. They rank 17th in the league with a save percentage of 60.6%, and they have dispatched 581 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 66 save chances and they have recorded 40 saves.

Out of their 12,696 innings played, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 104 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in professional baseball). The Braves have accrued 1,483 assists, 72 errors and are sitting with 4,232 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Anderson has allowed 126 base knocks while tallying 165 strikeouts in 160 innings. He has given up 58 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.201 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.46 and he has gone up against 673 hitters thus far in his career. Anderson (12-7 mark in his career) has a 3.25 earned run average while allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+100)

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