Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, July 18, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-127) Cincinnati (+112)

Great American Ball Park is the site where Sonny Gray and the Cincinnati Reds (48-43, 2nd in NL Central) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (54-39, 1st in NL Central) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Brewers priced at -127 and the Reds are at +112. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Corbin Burnes and Sonny Gray.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 4.4 runs per contest, which is 16th in MLB. They have earned 405 runs and have an OBP of .312. The Brewers have hit 134 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 112 balls out of the park. They have recorded 383 runs batted in in addition to 671 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is .221. Milwaukee is slugging .382 and have struck out 905 times, while being walked on 355 occasions.

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The Brewers have compiled a team ERA of 3.46 for the season (6th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 941 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 327 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.78 as a unit on the season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 97 home runs and 354 total runs (6th in baseball).

The Brewers relief pitchers have a save rate of 61.0% and has entered the game in 88 save situations. The relievers have inherited 76 runners this season with 35.5% of them earned a run for their team. Brewers pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 58 times as well as having 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have sent 296 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 46 holds over the course of the season (11th in the league). They have earned 25 saves this season and have blown 16 out of their 41 save opportunities.

The Brewers have transformed 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,443 innings, ranking them 5th in baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 2,481 putouts on the campaign, as well as 765 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which puts them in 15th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 567 double plays.

Burnes has thrown 234 innings and has tallied 321 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.69 (96 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.148. He has given up 199 base hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 70 walks. Burnes (16-10 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 2.92 and he has faced 972 hitters in the major leagues.

Cincinnati has hit 114 HRs on the campaign as well as 421 RBIs. They have hit 154 doubles, while walking 313 times as well as notching 441 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team OBP of .330 as well as a team batting average of .249 this year. The Reds have a SLG% of .415 and they earn 4.85 runs per game (9th in the league). They have been rung up on 804 instances (14th in MLB) and have earned a total of 760 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 438 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.46 (400 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 112 HR's and they allow 4.88 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.370 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.32 as a staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.35 (880 strikeouts against 374 free passes). They have a ranking of 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 732.

Cincinnati has called on relievers to take the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have earned 26 saves. They are currently ranked 19th in the league with a save percentage of 60.5%, and they have dispatched 329 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relievers have come in 108 times in high leverage situations in addition to 102 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 41.7% out of 151 inherited base runners. Sitting with 83 save situations, the Reds have accumulated 38 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 58 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (21st in professional baseball). The Reds have racked up 791 assists, 56 errors and have earned 2,423 putouts this season. In their 7,269 innings played, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (21st in professional baseball).

Gray (77-67 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.52 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.69 and he has gone up against 4,976 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 467 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.224 and having a FIP of 3.7. In his career, Gray has allowed 1,035 hits and he has 1,146 strikeouts in 1,194 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-127)

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