Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, April 19, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+125) San Diego (-135)

Joe Musgrove and the San Diego Padres (9-7, 3rd in NL West) host the Milwaukee Brewers (8-6, 2nd in NL Central) at Petco Park on Monday. The Padres open this matchup at -135 while the Brewers are coming in at +125. The O/U opens at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Brandon Woodruff and Joe Musgrove.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 15th in MLB. They have racked up 61 runs and have an OBP of .305. The Brewers have accounted for 14 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 13 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 58 RBI's and 97 base knocks this year, and their batting average sits at .210. Milwaukee has a slugging rate of .338 and have been called out on strikes 142 times, while drawing a walk on 50 occasions.

The Brewers hold a team earned run average of 2.93 so far this year (3rd in baseball), and they have struck out 134 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.05. Brewers pitchers have allowed 14 home runs and 46 total runs (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 45 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.78 as a team for the year.

The Brewers have dispatched 43 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 9 base runners on the season with 33.3% of those players earned a run for their team. They have 2 saves for the year and have blown 3 of their 5 chances to get a save. The Brewers relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 40.0% and has entered the game in 8 save situations. The relievers have 3 holds so far this season (26th in baseball). Brewers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 7 times in addition to having 11 appearances in high leverage situations.

Woodruff (19-11 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.22 while he has gone up against 1,211 hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 253 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 79 free passes. His earned run average is 3.57 (118 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.115. Woodruff has thrown 297 innings and has accounted for 332 strikeouts during his career.

San Diego has tallied 16 home runs on the year and 60 RBIs. They have notched 22 doubles, while getting a free base 74 times as well as putting up 64 runs. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .342 and a team batting average of .245 on the year. The Padres hold a slugging % of .384 and they score 4.00 runs per outing (20th in MLB). They have been rung up on 120 occasions (25th in the league) and have a total of 131 hits.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.034 with a FIP of 3.24 as a staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 4.02 (169 strikeouts vs 42 walks). They come in at 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 109. They have conceded 15 homers and they yield 3.33 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 54 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 2.53 (41 earned runs surrendered).

San Diego has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 9 save chances and they have converted 7 saves. They are ranked 7th in the league holding a save rate of 77.8%, and they have dispatched 62 relievers onto the field over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 17 times in high leverage situations in addition to 13 occasions with runners on. San Diego relievers have an inherited score rate of 15.8% out of their 19 inherited base runners. Sitting with 20 save situations, the Padres have earned 10 holds and also 2 blown saves.

Thus far in his career, Musgrove has conceded 497 hits while earning 489 strikeouts in 515 innings. Musgrove (31-39 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.19 ERA and has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 240 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.204 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.94 and he has faced 2,155 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+125)

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