Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Tuesday, August 3, 2021
Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-105) Cincinnati (-116)
Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (56-50, 2nd in NL Central) play the Minnesota Twins (44-62, 5th in AL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Twins coming in at -105 and the Reds are at -116. The over/under opens at 9.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Kenta Maeda and Tyler Mahle.
As a team, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 12th in MLB. They are sitting with 490 runs while holding a team OBP of .317. The Twins have tallied 175 doubles as a squad and have hit 153 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 455 RBI's and 870 hits this season, and their team batting average sits at .244. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .429 and have been called out on strikes 900 times, while drawing a walk on 348 occasions.
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The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 4.99 over the course of the season (27th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 867 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.34. Twins pitchers have allowed 154 long balls and also 565 runs in total (28th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 313 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.58 as a team on the campaign.
Twins pitchers have come into the game with runners on 84 times and also have had 109 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 53 holds on the year (13th in baseball). The Twins bullpen have compiled a save rate of 61.5% and has entered the game in 92 save situations. They have compiled 24 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 15 of their 39 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 112 runners on the campaign and 51.8% of those players earned a run for their team. The Twins have sent 335 relievers to the mound this year.
The Minnesota Twins have accumulated 2,772 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 940 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which has them ranked 29th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 710 double plays. The Twins have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,316 innings on the field, ranking them 24th in pro baseball.
Maeda has taken the ball for 741 innings and has 811 punch outs thus far in his career. Maeda (57-40 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.69 while going up against 3,043 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.82 (315 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.133. He has allowed 626 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 214 free passes.
The Reds hold a slugging % of .423 and they are recording 4.92 runs per outing (7th in baseball). They have hit 188 doubles, while walking 372 times as well as scoring 521 runs. Cincinnati has tallied 137 home runs on the campaign to go along with 497 runs batted in. They have struck out on 946 instances (13th in baseball) and have tallied 905 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an OBP of .333 as well as a batting average of .252 for the year.
The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 520 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.51 (474 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 141 homers and they surrender 4.95 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.388 with a FIP of 4.48 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.32 (1,015 strikeouts vs 437 walks). They are sitting at 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 876.
Sitting with 103 save situations, the Reds have recorded 50 holds and 22 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 51 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 137 times in high leverage situations in addition to 121 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.4% of 178 inherited runners. They are ranked 24th in MLB with a save rate of 56.9%, and they have sent 392 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign.
The Cincinnati Reds have turned 77 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in the majors). The Reds have racked up 930 assists, 63 errors and have notched a total of 2,838 putouts for the year. Out of their 8,514 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (23rd in pro baseball).
So far in his career, Mahle has given up 408 base hits while he has earned 446 K's in 421 innings. He has allowed 207 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.354 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and he has gone up against 1,828 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Mahle (21-28 career win-loss mark) has a 4.43 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (-105)
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