Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021
Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+110) Milwaukee (-167)
American Family Field is the site where Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers (29-31, 4th in NL Central last year) will play the Minnesota Twins (36-24, 1st in AL Central last season) on Saturday. The Brewers open this matchup at -167 while the Twins are coming in at +110. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jose Berrios and Corbin Burnes.
Minnesota had a slugging % of .427 and were called out on strikes 528 times, while being walked on 186 occasions. They accrued 258 RBI's and 468 base knocks in the prior season, and their average at the plate was at .242. The Twins hit 81 two-baggers as a squad and knocked 91 balls out of the park. They tallied 269 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins compiled 4.5 runs per game, which put them at 19th in the league.
The Twins held a team ERA of 3.58 for the previous season (4th in MLB), and the staff struck out 535 hitters. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.15 and the pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.20. Twins pitchers yielded 62 home runs in addition to 215 total runs (28th in MLB). They walked 170 opposing players and their FIP came in at 3.79 as a unit in the previous season. The Twins sent forth 202 relievers to the hill in the previous season. The relievers inherited 83 base runners in the prior season with 27.7% of them crossed the plate. They accumulated 17 saves last season and missed out on 10 of 27 chances to get a save. The Twins bullpen accumulated a save rate of 63.0% and stepped onto the hill in 82 save situations. The relief pitchers accumulated 53 holds over the course of last year (1st in baseball). Twins bullpen pitchers entered the contest with players on base in 48 outings as well as 73 outings with high leverage.
Berrios had a FIP of 4.06 and an ERA+ of 106. He gave up 28 earned runs last year with a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.6. He surrendered 8.1 H/9 and his WHIP was 1.317. His ERA was 4.00 and he struck out 68 batters. Jose Berrios allowed 57 hits in 63 innings over the course of last season. Berrios has thrown 659 innings and has earned 653 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.19 (307 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.267. He has conceded 615 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 221 free passes. Berrios (48-38 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.09 while he has gone up against 2,807 opposing batters during his time in the majors.
Milwaukee tallied 75 home runs in the prior season to go along with 238 runs batted in. They hit 83 two-baggers, while getting a free base 221 times as well as recording 247 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers accounted for a team on-base percentage of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .223 for the previous season. The Brewers held a team slugging percentage of .389 and they earned 4.12 runs per outing (27th in the league). They were called out on strikes on 582 occasions (2nd in the league) and were sitting with 429 hits.
The Brewers held a team WHIP of 1.228 and were the owners of a FIP of 3.80 as a team last season. Their K/BB ratio was 3.25 (614 strikeouts vs 189 free passes). They were ranked 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 446. They conceded 67 dingers and they allowed 4.59 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Milwaukee pitching staff given up 264 runs last season while holding a team ERA of 4.16 (239 earned runs allowed). With 22 save chances, the Brewers accrued 20 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. Milwaukee had relief pitchers enter the contest in 43 save situations and they earned 14 saves. Their bullpen pitchers took the field in 54 games with high leverage and 47 outings with runners on. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers held an inherited score rate of 36.0% out of their 77 inherited runners. They were ranked 11th in the league with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they sent 189 relievers to the mound last year.
Burnes allowed 37 total hits while surrendering 14 earned runs (2.11 ERA). His WHIP was 1.02 and he had a FIP of 2.03 over the course of last year. He took the ball for 59.2 innings last season while conceding 5.6 H/9 (hits per 9 innings). Burnes had a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.7 with 88 total strikeouts and an ERA+ of 218. So far in his pro baseball career, Burnes has given up 134 base knocks while earning 193 strikeouts in 146 frames. He has allowed 73 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.289 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.51 and he has gone up against 627 hitters during his pro baseball career. Burnes (12-6 mark in his career) has a 4.48 ERA while conceding 8.2 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-167)
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