Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021
Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+100) Milwaukee (-147)
Adrian Houser and the Milwaukee Brewers (29-31, 4th in NL Central last season) play the Minnesota Twins (36-24, 1st in AL Central last year) at American Family Field on Sunday. The Brewers open this game at -147 while the Twins are coming in at +100. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Michael Pineda and Adrian Houser.
As a squad last year, the Minnesota Twins scored 4.5 runs per outing, which was 19th in the league. They notched a total of 269 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. The Twins compiled 81 two-baggers as a team and smacked 91 baseballs out of the stadium. They accrued 258 runs batted in in addition to 468 base knocks for the previous season, while their team batting average was at .242. Minnesota had a slugging % of .427 and struck out 528 times, while drawing a walk on 186 occasions.
Twins pitchers relinquished 62 long balls and 215 runs in total (28th in baseball). They walked 170 opposing hitters and their FIP was 3.79 as a team for the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 3.15 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.20. The Twins held a team earned run average of 3.58 over the course of the prior season (4th in baseball), and their staff struck out 535 hitters. The Twins sent forth 202 relief pitchers to the hill last season. The relief pitchers inherited 83 base runners last year and 27.7% of them earned a run for their team. They earned 17 saves during the previous year and missed out on 10 of their 27 save chances. The Twins relief pitchers had a save percentage of 63.0% and stepped onto the mound in 82 save situations. The bullpen accumulated 53 holds over the course of last year (1st in baseball). Twins bullpen pitchers entered the game with opponents on base in 48 contests and also 73 outings with high leverage.
Michael Pineda gave up 25 base knocks in 26.2 innings last year. His earned run average was 3.38 and he struck out 25 hitters. He conceded 10 ER's last year and had a K/BB ratio of 3.6. He allowed 8.4 H/9 and his WHIP was at 1.2. Pineda had a FIP of 2.22 and his ERA+ was 126. Pineda (53-46 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.63 and he has faced 3,531 batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 818 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 192 walks. His earned run average is 4.02 (381 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.185. Pineda has taken the ball for 852 innings and has earned 852 punch outs in his MLB career.
The Crew hit 83 two-baggers, while taking a walk 221 times as well as scoring 247 runs. The Brewers held a team slugging % of .389 and they averaged 4.12 runs per contest (27th in MLB). Milwaukee recorded 75 home runs over the course of the prior season to go along with 238 runs batted in. They were called out on strikes on 582 occasions (2nd in MLB) and totaled 429 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers had an OBP of .313 and a team batting average of .223 for the previous season.
The Milwaukee pitching staff given up 264 runs over the course of the prior season while having a team ERA of 4.16 (239 earned runs allowed). They allowed 67 long balls and they yielded 4.59 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Brewers had a team WHIP of 1.228 in addition to having a FIP of 3.80 as a staff last season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 3.25 (614 strikeouts vs 189 walks). They had a ranking of 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 446. Milwaukee had relief pitchers enter the game in 43 save situations and they came away with 14 saves. They were ranked 11th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they dispatched 189 relief pitchers to the hill last year. Their bullpen pitchers came into 54 games with high leverage in addition to 47 outings with runners on. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 36.0% out of 77 inherited base runners. Ending the season with 22 save opportunities, the Brewers earned 20 holds and also 8 blown saves.
Houser had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.1 with 44 total strikeouts and he held an ERA+ of 87. His WHIP sat at 1.50 and he had a FIP of 4.82 over the course of last year. He threw 56.0 innings last season while allowing 10.1 H/9 (hits per 9 innings). Houser gave up 63 base knocks while conceding 33 earned runs (5.30 ERA). During his pro baseball career, Houser has surrendered 178 hits while he has tallied 169 strikeouts in 183 innings. He has allowed 84 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.339 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and he has gone up against 775 opposing batters thus far in his career. Houser (7-13 career record) has earned a 4.13 earned run average and has surrendered 8.8 hits per 9 innings.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-147) and under 8.5 runs
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