Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, September 18, 2021

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+150) Toronto (-196)

Steven Matz and the Toronto Blue Jays (82-64, 2nd in AL East) host the Minnesota Twins (64-83, 5th in AL Central) at Rogers Centre on Saturday. The Blue Jays open this contest at -196 while the Twins are priced at +150. The total opens at 9.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Bailey Ober and Steven Matz.

As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are compiling 4.5 runs per outing, which puts them at 16th in MLB. They have racked up 658 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .314. The Twins have hit 243 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 206 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 622 RBI's as well as 1,183 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .240. Minnesota has a slugging % of .421 and have been rung up 1,271 times, while taking a walk on 483 occasions.

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The Twins have a team ERA of 4.90 this season (27th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,188 batters. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32. Twins pitchers have surrendered 222 home runs and also 769 runs in total (28th in the league). They have walked 436 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.70 as a team so far this season.

The Twins bullpen have earned a save percentage of 64.9% and has come into the game in 134 save situations. The relievers have inherited 156 runners this year with 44.9% of those players ended up scoring. Twins relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 119 times as well as having 165 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 471 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have earned 76 holds for the season (11th in baseball). They have tallied 37 saves this year and have not converted 20 of 57 save chances.

The Twins have converted 69.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,586 innings on the field, which has them ranked 20th in the majors. The Minnesota Twins have earned a total of 3,862 putouts this year, in addition to 1,303 assists and 100 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which has them ranked 28th in baseball, and they have twisted 964 double plays.

Ober has taken the hill for 83 innings and has earned 87 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 4.12 (38 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.217. He has given up 84 base knocks (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 17 walks. Ober (2-2 career mark) has a FIP of 4.38 and he has gone up against 341 hitters in the majors.

The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with an OBP of .333 as well as a team batting average of .267 so far this season. They have struck out on 1,108 occasions (29th in baseball) and have a total of 1,319 hits. Toronto has recorded 233 home runs this year to go along with 743 RBIs. The Blue Jays hold a team SLG% of .465 and they average 5.28 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have hit 251 two-baggers, while taking a walk 453 times and racking up 771 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 596 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.87 (544 earned runs allowed). They have relinquished 186 HR's and they surrender 4.24 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.227 and have a FIP of 4.13 as a squad on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.16 (1,320 strikeouts vs 418 walks). They sit at 11th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,134.

Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 46 save chances and they have come away with 29 saves. They are ranked 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 63.0%, and they have sent 484 relievers to the hill on the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 147 times in high leverage situations and on 154 occasions with runners on base. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.6% of 220 inherited runners. Sitting with 106 save situations, the Blue Jays have compiled 57 holds and 17 blown saves.

In their 11,388 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays hold a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (9th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 108 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,248 assists, 84 errors and have notched a total of 3,796 putouts for the year.

In his career, Matz has surrendered 727 hits while tallying 680 punch outs in 714 innings. He has surrendered 338 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.322 and having a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.12 and he has gone up against 3,064 hitters in his pro baseball career. Matz (43-48 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.26 ERA while allowing 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+150)

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