New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+130) Atlanta (-145)

Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves (37-40, 3rd in NL East) play the New York Mets (40-34, 1st in NL East) at Truist Park on Wednesday. The odds on this contest have the Mets priced at +130 and the Braves are at -145. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Taijuan Walker and Max Fried.

As a team, the New York Mets are compiling 3.6 runs/g, which ranks them 29th in MLB. They have racked up 266 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .307. The Mets have compiled 99 doubles as a squad and have hit 72 balls out of the park. They have accrued 254 runs batted in and 532 hits this season, and their batting average is .229. New York is slugging .369 and have been called out on strikes 634 times, while taking a walk on 226 occasions.

The Mets have an earned run average of 3.11 for the year (1st in MLB), and the staff has rung up 690 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.29 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.13. Mets pitchers have surrendered 65 home runs and also 251 runs in total (1st in baseball). They have walked 210 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.41 as a unit for the season.

The Mets relievers have recorded a save percentage of 65.6% and has come into the game in 65 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 85 base runners so far this season with 32.9% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 57 times in addition to having 77 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 227 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relievers have earned 32 holds on the campaign (22nd in baseball). They have recorded 21 saves so far this year and have blown 11 of their 32 save opportunities.

The Mets have turned 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,634 innings on the field, ranking them 9th in baseball. The New York Mets have accumulated 1,878 putouts this season, in addition to 602 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which ranks 17th in the majors, and have accumulated 475 double plays.

Walker has taken the hill for 661 frames and has totaled 610 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Walker (41-37 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.08 while facing 2,782 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.66 (269 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.221. He has surrendered 598 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 209 free passes.

Atlanta has compiled 109 home runs so far this season and 337 runs batted in. They have 128 doubles, while taking a walk 276 times as well as putting up 352 runs. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with an OBP of .316 in addition to a batting average of .234 on the season. The Braves have a SLG% of .424 and they earn 4.57 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have been rung up on 722 instances (10th in baseball) and have accounted for 585 base hits.

The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 355 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.30 (319 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 90 homers and they concede 4.78 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.305 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a squad on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.67 (684 strikeouts against 256 free passes). They sit at 17th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 616.

Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.7% out of their 113 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 116 times in high leverage situations and on 72 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 79 save situations, the Braves have recorded 49 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They sit at 20th in MLB with a save rate of 58.6%, and they have sent 281 relief pitchers onto the field so far this year. Atlanta has had relievers enter the contest in 29 save chances and they have recorded 17 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 48 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (6th in MLB). The Braves have 687 assists, 40 errors and have 2,004 putouts over the course of the season. In 6,012 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (18th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Fried has allowed 329 hits while accumulating 344 strikeouts in 339 innings pitched. He has allowed 137 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.319 and a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.92 and he has gone up against 1,437 batters during his career. Fried (30-15 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.64 earned run average and has given up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-145)

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