New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, July 1, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-167) Atlanta (+130)

Jacob deGrom and the New York Mets (41-34, 1st in NL East) head to Truist Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (37-41, 4th in NL East). The Mets open this matchup at -167 while the Braves are priced at +130. The total opens at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jacob deGrom and Drew Smyly.

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The Mets have compiled 100 doubles as a team and have hit 73 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .369 and have struck out 644 times, while being walked on 229 occasions. As a squad, the New York Mets are compiling 3.6 runs per game, which ranks them 29th in MLB. They have 258 runs batted in and 539 base knocks this season, while their team batting average comes in at .228. They have tallied 270 runs scored and have an OBP of .307.

Mets pitchers have given up 66 home runs and also 254 total runs (1st in MLB). They have walked 214 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.42 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.27 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.13. The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 3.10 this season (1st in baseball), and the staff has rung up 699 batters.

The Mets have sent 231 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 85 base runners for the year with 32.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 22 saves on the season and have blown 11 of their 33 save opportunities. The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 68 save situations. The bullpen have earned 34 holds so far this season (20th in MLB). Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 57 times in addition to having 80 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs in their 5,715 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 8th in the majors. The New York Mets have amassed 1,905 putouts on the year, in addition to 605 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which ranks 16th in MLB, and they have twisted 480 double plays.

deGrom (77-53 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 2.64 while facing 4,928 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 971 hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 295 free passes. His ERA is 2.49 (345 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.015. deGrom has thrown 1,247 innings and has tallied 1,481 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Atlanta Braves have earned a team on-base percentage of .316 in addition to a batting average of .233 on the campaign. They have struck out on 731 instances (10th in baseball) and have accounted for 591 base knocks. Atlanta has 110 HRs on the campaign to go along with 340 RBIs. The Braves hold a slugging % of .422 and they earn 4.55 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have tallied 128 doubles, while getting a free base 280 times as well as putting up 355 runs.

The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 359 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.29 (323 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 91 home runs and they relinquish 4.77 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.303 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.15 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.68 (694 strikeouts vs 259 free passes). They come in at 18th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 623.

Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 29 save chances and they have converted 17 saves. They are currently ranked 20th in the league with a save percentage of 58.6%, and they have sent 284 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 117 times in high leverage situations and also on 72 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.7% out of their 113 inherited base runners. With 79 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 49 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 49 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (6th in the majors). The Braves have recorded 698 assists, 40 errors and have a total of 2,031 putouts this year. Out of their 6,093 innings on the field, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (18th in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Smyly has allowed 735 base knocks while he has totaled 771 strikeouts in 778 innings. Smyly (40-38 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.19 earned run average and has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 362 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.11 and he has gone up against 3,265 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-167)

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