New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-135) Chicago (+125)

Taijuan Walker and the New York Mets (7-4, 1st in NL East) travel to Wrigley Field on Tuesday where they'll take on the Chicago Cubs (6-9, 5th in NL Central). The Cubs open this contest at +125 while the Mets are coming in at -135. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Taijuan Walker and Jake Arrieta.

The Mets have tallied 14 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 6 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .353 and have been rung up 87 times, while being walked on 37 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are compiling 3.4 runs per game, which has them at 29th in baseball. They have 34 RBI's and 83 hits this year, and their batting average is .246. They have tallied 37 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .334.

The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 2.93 on the season (4th in baseball), and they have struck out 107 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 22 players from the other team and their FIP is 2.77 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 4.86 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.04. Mets pitchers have surrendered 8 home runs in addition to 37 runs in total (1st in MLB).

The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 50.0% and has entered the game in 8 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 11 base runners so far this season with 45.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Mets pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 6 times and also have had 10 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 26 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have earned 4 holds on the season (23rd in the league). They have recorded 2 saves this year and have blown 2 of 4 save opportunities.

Walker has taken the mound for 592 frames and is sitting with 540 strikeouts in his career. Walker (35-34 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.20 and he has faced 2,509 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.82 (251 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.245. He has surrendered 548 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 189 free passes.

Chicago has compiled 22 HRs over the course of the season as well as 50 runs batted in. They have hit 15 doubles, while getting a free base 49 times and scoring 51 runs. The Chicago Cubs have compiled an OBP of .285 and a team batting average of .192 for the year. The Cubs hold a team slugging % of .379 and they tally 3.40 runs per contest (28th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 151 occasions (8th in MLB) and have a total of 89 base hits.

The Chicago pitching staff have yielded 74 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.98 (73 earned runs yielded). They have given up 16 homers and they allow 5.05 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.462 and have a FIP of 4.55 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 1.87 (140 strikeouts vs 75 walks). They are sitting at 16th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 118.

Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 5 save opportunities and they have earned 4 saves. They rank 5th in baseball holding a save rate of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 61 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relievers have come in 15 times in high leverage situations in addition to 18 occasions with runners on. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.4% out of 35 inherited runners. Sitting with 14 save situations, the Cubs have compiled 8 holds in addition to 1 blown save.

In his career, Arrieta has surrendered 1,336 hits and he has 1,364 punch outs in 1,530 innings. He has conceded 638 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.220 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and he has gone up against 6,358 opposing batters during his career. Arrieta (112-80 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.75 ERA and has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+125)

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