New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, April 6, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-138) Philadelphia (+120)

Chase Anderson and the Philadelphia Phillies (2-0, 1st in NL East) host the New York Mets (0-0) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Mets priced at -138 and the Phillies are at +120. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Marcus Stroman and Chase Anderson.

New York had a slugging percentage of .459 and struck out 498 times last season, while getting a free base on 197 occasions. They tallied 278 RBI's in addition to 551 hits last season, while their batting average was at .272. The Mets earned 106 two-baggers as a team and hit 86 baseballs out of the stadium. They earned 286 runs scored while having a team OBP of .348. As a unit, the New York Mets put up 4.8 runs per outing, which had them at 16th in the league.

Mets pitchers yielded 81 long balls and 308 total runs (1st in the league). Their pitching staff walked 219 opposing batters and their FIP was 4.46 as a squad over the course of last season. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.62 and the pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.42. The Mets held a team earned run average of 4.98 for the season (20th in the league), and their staff rung up 574 hitters. The Mets dispatched 197 relievers to the hill over the course of the prior season. The relievers inherited 95 base runners over the course of last year and 34.7% of them crossed home plate. They compiled 11 saves during the previous year and blew 7 of their 18 save opportunities. The Mets relief pitchers earned a save rate of 61.1% and stepped onto the mound in 46 save situations. The bullpen finished with 27 holds in the previous season (19th in MLB). Mets pitchers came into the game with opponents on base in 48 games and also 51 games with high leverage.

Stroman was the owner of a FIP of 4.15 and an ERA+ of 110. Marcus Stroman gave up 65 base hits in 59.2 innings he pitched over the course of last season. He conceded 25 earned runs last season and had a K/BB ratio of 2.6. He gave up 9.8 H/9 and he earned a WHIP of 1.475. His ERA was 3.77 and he fanned 60 hitters. Stroman (51-47 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.64 while he has faced 3,549 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 853 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 244 walks. His earned run average is 3.76 (355 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.292. Stroman has taken the hill for 849 innings and has accumulated 695 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for an on-base percentage of .351 in addition to a team batting average of .260 on the season. They have been rung up on 36 occasions (9th in baseball) and have 25 base hits. Philadelphia has hit 2 home runs on the year in addition to 9 runs batted in. The Phillies have a SLG% of .375 and they score 3.00 runs per outing (23rd in baseball). They have recorded 5 two-baggers, while getting a free base 11 times and recording 9 runs.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 0.607 and are the owners of a FIP of 2.54 as a team for the season. They are sitting at 29th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 12. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 3 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 0.96 (3 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.00 (35 strikeouts against 5 free passes). They have allowed 2 long balls and they concede 0.96 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 32.0% out of 115 inherited runners last year. Their relievers took the field in 64 games with high leverage in addition to 84 outings with runners on. Finishing with 25 chances for a save, the Phillies accumulated 27 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They were sitting at 29th in MLB with a save percentage of 44.0%, and they sent 189 bullpen pitchers to the mound last season. Philadelphia called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 53 save situations and they recorded 11 saves.

Anderson had a K/BB ratio of 3.8 with 38 total strikeouts and an ERA+ of 61. He took the ball for 33.2 innings last season while allowing 12 hits per 9 innings. Anderson gave up 45 total base hits while he conceded 27 earned runs (7.22 ERA). His WHIP was at 1.63 and he held a FIP of 6.16 last year. During his MLB career, Anderson has given up 845 hits while tallying 759 punch outs in 890 innings. Anderson (54-42 career record) has a 4.06 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 402 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.275 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and he has gone up against 3,732 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+120)

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