Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, July 5, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+110) Chicago (-135)

Zach Davies and the Chicago Cubs (42-41, 3rd in NL Central) play the Philadelphia Phillies (39-41, 4th in NL East) at Wrigley Field on Monday. The Phillies open this contest at +110 while the Cubs are coming in at -135. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Zach Davies.

The Phillies have accumulated 124 doubles as a unit and have hit 85 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .388 and have been called out on strikes 763 times, while taking a walk on 263 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.3 runs/g, which puts them at 17th in baseball. They have earned 328 runs batted in in addition to 627 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .237. They have racked up 341 runs while holding a team OBP of .311.

The Phillies hold a team earned run average of 4.23 this year (18th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 743 hitters. They have walked 242 batters and their FIP is 4.07 as a squad so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.07 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28. Phillies pitchers have given up 99 home runs in addition to 362 runs in total (16th in the league).

The Phillies bullpen have recorded a save rate of 46.3% and has entered the game in 77 save situations. The relievers have inherited 106 base runners so far this year with 43.4% of those runners ended up scoring. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 70 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 248 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have recorded 34 holds this year (22nd in baseball). They have compiled 19 saves on the campaign and have blown 22 out of their 41 save chances.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 2,099 putouts thus far, as well as 702 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which has them sitting 17th in MLB, and they have turned 518 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,297 innings, ranking them 23rd in pro baseball.

Nola has taken the ball for 938 frames and has accumulated 1,040 punch outs thus far in his career. Nola (63-45 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.43 and he has gone up against 3,868 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.57 (372 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.170. He has given up 817 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 280 walks.

Chicago has a total of 108 long balls on the campaign to go along with 328 runs batted in. They have 103 two-baggers, while taking a walk 270 times as well as earning 345 runs. The Chicago Cubs hold an OBP of .303 in addition to a batting average of .222 on the campaign. The Cubs hold a team slugging percentage of .393 and they score 4.16 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have been rung up on 814 occasions (4th in the league) and have recorded 594 hits.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.297 and have a FIP of 4.42 as a team so far this season. They are sitting at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 625. The Chicago pitching staff have given up 349 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.95 (319 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.33 (742 strikeouts against 318 walks). They have given up 100 homers and they allow 4.32 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.8% out of their 126 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 92 times in high leverage situations and on 82 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 89 save situations, the Cubs have 57 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They rank 3rd in MLB with a save percentage of 74.2%, and they have sent 305 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 31 save opportunities and they have come away with 23 saves.

In 6,543 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have twisted 69 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (5th in MLB). The Cubs have 792 assists, 41 errors and have earned a total of 2,181 putouts so far this year.

Davies (55-41 mark in his career) has a 3.85 ERA while surrendering 8.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.27 and he has gone up against 3,229 batters in his MLB career. He has given up 328 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.292 and having a FIP of 4.2. Thus far in his career, Davies has conceded 748 hits while tallying 552 K's in 767 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+110)

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