Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/22/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, September 22, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+190) Cincinnati (-256)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (78-73, 3rd in NL Central) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-94, 5th in NL Central) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Pirates priced at +190 and the Reds are at -256. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Wil Crowe and Luis Castillo.

Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .363 and have been rung up 1,219 times, while taking a walk on 482 occasions. They have 518 RBI's and 1,162 hits for the season, and their batting average is sitting at .235. The Pirates have tallied 228 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 116 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 554 runs scored and have an OBP of .307. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are recording 3.7 runs per contest, which has them at 30th in baseball.

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The Pirates hold a team earned run average of 5.04 for the year (28th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,212 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 552 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.69 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.42. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 194 home runs in addition to 763 total runs (26th in baseball).

The Pirates relievers have accumulated a save rate of 54.8% and has entered the game in 111 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 181 base runners this year with 34.3% of those players crossed home plate. Pirates bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 109 times and also have had 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 529 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen have recorded 66 holds over the course of the season (24th in baseball). They have earned 23 saves so far this season and have blown 19 out of their 42 save chances.

The Pirates have turned 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,631 innings on the field, which has them sitting 23rd in professional baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accounted for 3,877 putouts this year, as well as 1,286 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 4th in MLB, and they have twisted 1,052 double plays.

Crowe has taken the mound for 114 frames and is sitting with 108 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 6.22 (79 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.662. He has surrendered 131 base hits (10.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 59 free passes. Crowe (4-9 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 6.19 while he has faced 525 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned an on-base percentage of .326 in addition to a team batting average of .247 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,341 occasions (11th in MLB) and have recorded 1,249 base hits. Cincinnati has accumulated 204 home runs on the year and 700 RBIs. The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .427 and they earn 4.83 runs per outing (9th in baseball). They have recorded 271 doubles, while walking 509 times and notching 729 runs.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.342 and have a FIP of 4.31 as a staff so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.49 (1,414 strikeouts against 567 bases on balls). They come in at 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,228. They have relinquished 191 dingers and they allow 4.73 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have yielded 702 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.34 (645 earned runs surrendered).

Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 66 save chances and they have tallied 41 saves. They rank 14th in the league with a save percentage of 62.1%, and they have dispatched 530 relievers to the hill on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 177 times in high leverage situations and on 149 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 39.0% out of their 223 inherited runners. With 139 save situations, the Reds have 71 holds and also 25 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 116 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in professional baseball). The Reds have recorded 1,327 assists, 86 errors and have accumulated 4,012 putouts on the campaign. In 12,036 innings played, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in MLB).

In his MLB career, Castillo has given up 592 hits while accumulating 759 strikeouts in 696 innings pitched. Castillo (40-48 career record) is the owner of a 3.74 ERA and has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 289 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.214 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.00 and he has gone up against 2,893 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-256)

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