Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 17, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+125) Miami (-167)

Elieser Hernandez and the Miami Marlins (62-84, 4th in NL East) play the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-91, 5th in NL Central) at Marlins Park on Friday. The Pirates open this contest at +125 while the Marlins are coming in at -167. The over/under opens at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Wil Crowe and Elieser Hernandez.

The Pirates have recorded 221 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 113 baseballs out of the park. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .364 and have struck out 1,175 times, while being walked on 463 occasions. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are earning 3.7 runs per contest, which is 30th in MLB. They have accounted for 504 RBI's as well as 1,125 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .235. They have a total of 536 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .307.

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The Pirates are sitting with a team ERA of 5.08 this season (28th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,166 hitters. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.18 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.43. Pirates pitchers have allowed 188 home runs in addition to 743 runs in total (27th in baseball). They have walked 536 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.71 as a team for the season.

The Pirates relief pitchers have a save percentage of 56.4% and has entered the game in 104 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 177 runners for the year with 33.9% of them crossed home plate. Pirates pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 106 times as well as having 115 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 508 relievers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen have recorded 62 holds this season (27th in the league). They have accumulated 22 saves this year and have blown 17 out of their 39 save chances.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with 3,745 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,249 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which has them sitting 5th in baseball, and have a total of 1,015 double plays. The Pirates have turned 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,235 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 24th in the majors.

Crowe has thrown 109 innings and has 103 strikeouts during his MLB career. His ERA is 6.42 (78 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.701. He has allowed 128 base hits (10.5 hits per nine innings) and has 58 free passes. Crowe (3-9 career mark) has a FIP of 6.40 while he has faced 506 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Marlins have a team SLG% of .375 and they are recording 3.95 runs per contest (28th in the league). They have recorded 211 two-baggers, while walking 411 times and putting up 577 runs. Miami is sitting with 143 home runs on the campaign as well as 551 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,408 occasions (3rd in the league) and have 1,138 hits. The Miami Marlins have accumulated an OBP of .301 and a batting average of .235 this year.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.262 and have a FIP of 4.03 as a squad on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.62 (1,231 strikeouts vs 470 walks). They sit at 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,141. They have given up 147 homers and they relinquish 4.36 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have yielded 618 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.89 (552 earned runs relinquished).

With 119 save situations, the Marlins have earned 65 holds and 24 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to enter the contest in 54 save opportunities and they have tallied 30 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 167 times in high leverage situations in addition to 116 occasions with base runners. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.4% of 182 inherited base runners. They sit at 25th in baseball holding a save rate of 55.6%, and they have sent 535 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Miami Marlins have turned 133 double plays and have a fielding rate of .979 (30th in baseball). The Marlins have accrued 1,310 assists, 108 errors and have 3,830 putouts so far this season. Out of their 11,490 innings on the field, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (19th in baseball).

In his career, Hernandez has conceded 201 hits while he has totaled 201 strikeouts in 210 innings. He has allowed 110 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 5.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.09 and he has gone up against 901 opposing batters in his career. Hernandez (7-13 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.70 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-167)

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