Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 6/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, June 11, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+255) Milwaukee (-357)

Chase De Jong and the Pittsburgh Pirates (23-37, 5th in NL Central) head to American Family Field on Friday where they'll meet the Milwaukee Brewers (34-27, 2nd in NL Central). The Brewers open this matchup at -357 while the Pirates are priced at +255. The over/under is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Chase De Jong and Brandon Woodruff.

Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .346 and have struck out 508 times, while drawing a walk on 188 occasions. They have 198 RBI's in addition to 448 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is .226. The Pirates have tallied 95 doubles as a team and have smacked 41 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 210 runs and have an OBP of .299. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are earning 3.5 runs per game, which is 30th in the league.

Pirates pitchers have conceded 75 home runs and 288 runs (22nd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 204 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.43 as a team over the course of the season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.43 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32. The Pirates have compiled a team earned run average of 4.65 for the year (24th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 496 hitters.

Pirates bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 49 times and also have had 49 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 26 holds this season (21st in the league). The Pirates relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 72.7% and has entered the game in 39 save situations. They have tallied 8 saves so far this season and have missed out on 3 of their 11 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 77 base runners so far this year with 26.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Pirates have sent 207 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Pirates have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,689 innings, ranking them 10th in professional baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 1,563 putouts for the season, in addition to 543 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 9th in pro baseball, and they have turned 424 double plays.

De Jong has taken the hill for 64 innings and has racked up 45 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 6.85 (49 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.601. He has surrendered 74 base knocks (10.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 29 free passes. De Jong (1-5 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 5.99 and he has gone up against 289 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned an on-base percentage of .300 and a team batting average of .212 on the campaign. They have struck out on 601 occasions (3rd in the league) and have totaled 423 base hits. Milwaukee has accounted for 77 HRs this year as well as 227 runs batted in. The Brewers hold a team SLG% of .372 and they are earning 3.92 runs per outing (23rd in MLB). They have 76 two-baggers, while walking 216 times as well as notching 239 runs.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.167 and have a FIP of 3.80 as a squad this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.04 (635 strikeouts vs 209 free passes). They have a ranking of 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 426. They have given up 70 dingers and they give up 4.02 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 243 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.66 (221 earned runs given up).

Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score rate of 40.0% out of their 50 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 77 times in high leverage situations and also on 39 occasions with runners on base. With 61 save situations, the Brewers have accumulated 33 holds and also 11 blown saves. They are currently ranked 16th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.7%, and they have dispatched 191 relievers onto the diamond for the year. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 28 save opportunities and they have tallied 17 saves.

In 4,896 innings on the field, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (7th in professional baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 35 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (18th in professional baseball). The Brewers have racked up 484 assists, 37 errors and have accounted for 1,632 putouts so far this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Woodruff has given up 282 hits and he has 405 K's in 356 innings pitched. Woodruff (23-13 career mark) has earned a 3.18 earned run average while conceding 7.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 126 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.051 and a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.35 and he has gone up against 1,429 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-357)

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