Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, May 5, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+216) San Diego (-240)

JT Brubaker and the Pittsburgh Pirates (12-16, 5th in NL Central) head to Petco Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the San Diego Padres (17-13, 3rd in NL West). The Padres open this game at -240 while the Pirates are coming in at +216. The total opens at 7. The pitchers taking the mound will be JT Brubaker and Yu Darvish.

As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 3.6 runs per contest, which has them at 27th in MLB. They have accounted for 102 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .305. The Pirates have compiled 47 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 20 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 98 runs batted in in addition to 204 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate sits at .223. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .347 and have been called out on strikes 243 times, while taking a walk on 97 occasions.

The Pirates have compiled a team earned run average of 4.46 on the campaign (21st in the league), and the staff has rung up 240 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.47 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.27. Pirates pitchers have conceded 32 long balls in addition to 130 runs in total (19th in the league). They have walked 97 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.23 as a unit for the year.

Pirates relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 22 times as well as having 19 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 14 holds this year (16th in the league). The Pirates bullpen have earned a save percentage of 80.0% and has come into the game in 21 save situations. They have tallied 4 saves so far this season and have missed out on 1 out of their 5 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 35 base runners so far this season with 22.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Pirates have dispatched 99 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Pirates have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,160 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 14th in MLB. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated 720 putouts this season, as well as 255 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them ranked 24th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 207 double plays.

Brubaker has thrown 74 frames and has 78 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Brubaker (3-5 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.02 while he has gone up against 318 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.10 (34 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.246. He has given up 71 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 22 free passes.

The San Diego Padres are sitting with an OBP of .317 and a batting average of .232 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 250 occasions (16th in baseball) and have totaled 230 hits. San Diego has recorded 29 home runs so far this year to go along with 111 runs batted in. The Padres have a team slugging % of .361 and they earn 3.93 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have 35 doubles, while walking 119 times as well as putting up 118 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 103 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 2.81 (85 earned runs conceded). They have given up 32 homers and they allow 3.41 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.077 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.41 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.61 (336 strikeouts vs 93 walks). They rank 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 200.

With 40 save situations, the Padres have 21 holds and also 6 blown saves. San Diego has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 18 save chances and they have come away with 12 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 34 times in high leverage situations and on 21 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 18.8% out of 32 inherited base runners. They are ranked 12th in MLB holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 120 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.

The San Diego Padres have twisted 25 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .976 (29th in the majors). The Padres have recorded 251 assists, 26 errors and have earned 816 putouts so far this season. Out of their 2,448 innings played, the Padres have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (12th in MLB).

So far in his pro baseball career, Darvish has surrendered 932 base knocks while he has totaled 1,441 strikeouts in 1,165 frames. Darvish (74-57 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.42 earned run average while allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 443 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.151 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.52 and he has faced 4,801 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+216)

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