San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, July 19, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-141) Atlanta (+110)

Kyle Muller and the Atlanta Braves (45-46, 3rd in NL East) host the San Diego Padres (54-40, 3rd in NL West) at Truist Park on Monday. The Braves open this game at +110 while the Padres are coming in at -141. The O/U opens at 9. The men taking the mound are Yu Darvish and Kyle Muller.

As a squad, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.8 runs per contest, which puts them at 10th in the league. They are sitting with 460 runs and hold an OBP of .330. The Padres have hit 148 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 115 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accrued 438 runs batted in in addition to 776 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is at .247. San Diego is slugging .413 and have struck out 783 times, while drawing a walk on 368 occasions.

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The Padres have a team ERA of 3.48 for the year (5th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 901 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.00 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.21. Padres pitchers have relinquished 107 home runs and also 365 runs in total (7th in baseball). They have walked 300 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.94 as a team so far this year.

The Padres relief pitchers have a save percentage of 66.0% and has entered the game in 110 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 79 base runners this year and 22.8% of them crossed home plate. Padres bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 57 times in addition to having 89 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 352 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have recorded 61 holds on the season (2nd in MLB). They have tallied 31 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 16 out of their 47 save chances.

The San Diego Padres have earned 2,521 putouts this year, as well as 835 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .982 which puts them in 26th in professional baseball, and have earned 657 double plays. The Padres have transformed 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,563 innings, which has them sitting at 11th in the majors.

Darvish has thrown 1,232 frames and has accumulated 1,517 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Darvish (78-59 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.41 and he has faced 5,071 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.43 (470 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.146. He has conceded 990 hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 422 free passes.

The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .429 and they are recording 4.78 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have hit 157 doubles, while walking 333 times and notching 435 runs. Atlanta has accumulated 128 home runs so far this season to go along with 418 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 849 occasions (8th in baseball) and have a total of 716 hits. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with an OBP of .322 in addition to a batting average of .240 for the year.

The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.315 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.16 as a pitching staff this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.62 (816 strikeouts vs 311 free passes). They sit at 16th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 732. They have conceded 105 dingers and they allow 4.63 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 408 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.21 (371 earned runs relinquished).

Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.4% of 125 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 134 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 94 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 60 holds and also 14 blown saves. They are ranked 23rd in baseball with a save percentage of 57.6%, and they have sent 330 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 33 save chances and they have tallied 19 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 53 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (6th in MLB). The Braves have recorded 811 assists, 45 errors and have a tally of 2,379 putouts over the course of the season. In 7,137 innings on the field, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (18th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Muller has surrendered 9 base knocks while accumulating 20 punch outs in 15 innings. Muller (1-2 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.45 ERA while allowing 5.2 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 6 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.085 and a FIP of 3.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and he has gone up against 64 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+110)

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