San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-152) Atlanta (+120)

Truist Park is the site where Touki Toussaint and the Atlanta Braves (45-47, 3rd in NL East) will take on the San Diego Padres (55-41, 3rd in NL West) on Wednesday. The Braves open this game at +120 while the Padres are priced at -152. The O/U is set at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Chris Paddack and Touki Toussaint.

San Diego has a slugging percentage of .413 and have struck out 800 times, while taking a walk on 375 occasions. They have accrued 446 runs batted in and 786 hits on the year, and their team batting average comes in at .247. The Padres have accounted for 148 doubles as a team and have hit 118 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 469 runs scored and hold an OBP of .330. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 7th in MLB.

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The Padres are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.52 on the season (4th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 916 hitters. They have walked 303 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.95 as a unit so far this year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.02 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.21. Padres pitchers have surrendered 109 long balls and also 373 runs in total (7th in MLB).

Padres pitchers have entered the game with players on base 57 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 60 holds over the course of the season (5th in the league). The Padres bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 64.6% and stepped onto the hill in 110 save situations. They have recorded 31 saves on the campaign and have blown 17 of their 48 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 79 runners so far this season with 22.8% of those players crossed the plate. The Padres have sent 360 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Padres have converted 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,674 innings on the field, which has them ranked 12th in MLB. The San Diego Padres have accumulated 2,558 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 843 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which has them ranked 26th in the majors, and they have twisted 662 double plays.

Paddack has thrown 281 frames and has racked up 294 K's during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.25 (133 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.136. He has given up 258 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 62 free passes. Paddack (18-18 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.17 and he has faced 1,168 hitters in the major leagues.

The Atlanta Braves have a team on-base percentage of .322 as well as a batting average of .240 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 857 occasions (9th in MLB) and have tallied 728 base hits. Atlanta has accumulated 128 long balls this year as well as 423 runs batted in. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .428 and they are recording 4.78 runs per outing (11th in MLB). They have notched 161 doubles, while taking a walk 336 times and notching 440 runs.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.314 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.18 as a staff so far this season. They are sitting at 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 740. The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 415 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.24 (378 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.62 (822 strikeouts vs 314 walks). They have allowed 107 homers and they give up 4.66 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

Sitting with 95 save situations, the Braves have tallied 60 holds and 15 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 34 save opportunities and they have come away with 19 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 135 times in high leverage situations and also on 83 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 38.1% out of their 126 inherited runners. They are ranked 24th in the league holding a save rate of 55.9%, and they have dispatched 335 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 53 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (6th in professional baseball). The Braves have 816 assists, 45 errors and have accumulated 2,406 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 7,218 innings played, the Braves have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (19th in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Toussaint has surrendered 89 base hits while he has accumulated 107 K's in 95 innings. He has given up 63 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.600 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.70 and he has gone up against 441 hitters so far in his MLB career. Toussaint (6-3 career record) holds a 5.97 ERA and has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-152)

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