San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/23/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, July 23, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-233) Miami (+175)

Joe Musgrove and the San Diego Padres (56-42, 3rd in NL West) are headed to Marlins Park on Friday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (41-55, 5th in NL East). The moneyline on this game has the Padres coming in at -233 and the Marlins are at +175. The O/U is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Joe Musgrove and Zach Thompson.

San Diego is slugging .411 and have been called out on strikes 806 times, while drawing a walk on 377 occasions. They have accounted for 447 runs batted in as well as 791 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average is at .246. The Padres have accounted for 150 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 118 balls out of the stadium. They have 470 runs and have an OBP of .329. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 4.9 runs per contest, which is 8th in baseball.

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Padres pitchers have surrendered 110 home runs and also 375 total runs (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 305 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.96 as a squad on the campaign. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.02 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.21. The Padres have a team ERA of 3.50 for the year (4th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 921 batters.

The Padres have dispatched 363 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 81 base runners for the year and 22.2% of those runners crossed home plate. They have recorded 31 saves so far this year and have missed out on 17 of their 48 chances to save the game. The Padres bullpen have a save rate of 64.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 110 save situations. The bullpen have 60 holds this season (5th in MLB). Padres pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 58 times as well as having 93 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Diego Padres are sitting with 2,582 putouts so far this season, in addition to 851 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .982 which has them sitting 25th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 670 double plays. The Padres have turned 70.0% of balls in play into outs out of 7,746 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 12th in the majors.

Musgrove has thrown 600 frames and has earned 584 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Musgrove (34-45 career mark) has a FIP of 3.83 while going up against 2,513 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.13 (275 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.192. He has surrendered 566 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 149 free passes.

The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .373 and they tally 3.92 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have recorded 131 two-baggers, while taking a walk 276 times as well as scoring 372 runs. Miami has 94 home runs for the season to go along with 353 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 924 occasions (4th in the league) and have accounted for 737 hits. The Miami Marlins have earned an OBP of .301 and a team batting average of .234 on the campaign.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.218 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.73 as a staff for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.78 (812 strikeouts against 292 walks). They sit at 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 719. They have allowed 82 home runs and they surrender 4.08 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have given up 376 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.61 (333 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 78 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 43 holds and also 19 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 35 save opportunities and they have walked away with 16 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 106 times in high leverage situations in addition to 63 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers have an inherited score rate of 39.6% of 91 inherited runners. They are ranked 29th in baseball holding a save rate of 45.7%, and they have sent 342 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

In their 7,476 innings played, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (14th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have twisted 87 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in the majors). The Marlins have accrued 834 assists, 68 errors and have a tally of 2,492 putouts for the year.

Thus far in his career, Thompson has conceded 19 base hits while he has earned 33 strikeouts in 28 innings pitched. He has allowed 6 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.000 and having a FIP of 2.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.67 and he has faced 113 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Thompson (2-2 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 1.93 earned run average while giving up 6.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-233)

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