San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/24/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins
Date: Saturday, July 24, 2021
Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL
TV: Bally Sports Florida
Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-135) Miami (+110)
Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (41-56, 5th in NL East) host the San Diego Padres (57-42, 3rd in NL West) at Marlins Park on Saturday. The Padres open this contest at -135 while the Marlins are priced at +110. The total is set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Ryan Weathers and Sandy Alcantara.
The Padres have recorded 154 doubles as a unit and have hit 119 balls out of the park. San Diego is slugging .410 and have been called out on strikes 818 times, while being walked on 390 occasions. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 4.8 runs/g, which ranks them 9th in baseball. They have 453 RBI's as well as 805 hits this season, while their average at the plate is at .246. They are sitting with 476 runs while holding a team OBP of .330.
The Padres hold a team earned run average of 3.47 on the campaign (4th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 934 batters. They have walked 310 batters and their FIP sits at 3.93 as a team for the year. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.21. Padres pitchers have given up 110 home runs and also 379 total runs (6th in MLB).
The Padres have dispatched 369 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 85 runners on the campaign and 22.4% of those players crossed home plate. They have accumulated 33 saves on the year and have blown 17 of 50 chances to save the game. The Padres bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 66.0% and has entered the game in 116 save situations. The bullpen have earned 64 holds this season (2nd in baseball). Padres pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 60 times and also have had 97 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Padres have transformed 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,890 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 12th in professional baseball. The San Diego Padres have earned 2,630 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 870 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them ranked 26th in pro baseball, and have 682 double plays.
Weathers has pitched in 58 frames and has accounted for 42 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 2.91 (19 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.142. He has given up 49 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) with 18 free passes. Weathers (4-2 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.53 while he has gone up against 235 hitters in the major leagues.
The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .371 and they average 3.89 runs per outing (29th in baseball). They have hit 136 doubles, while walking 283 times as well as putting up 377 runs. Miami has compiled 94 home runs for the season as well as 357 RBIs. They have been rung up on 939 occasions (4th in baseball) and have 747 base hits. The Miami Marlins have recorded a team OBP of .300 and a batting average of .232 on the year.
The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.220 with a FIP of 3.73 as a pitching staff on the season. They rank 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 732. The Miami pitching staff have allowed 380 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.56 (336 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.71 (823 strikeouts against 304 walks). They have given up 82 homers and they concede 4.03 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB).
Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.9% of 95 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 109 times in high leverage situations in addition to 67 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 79 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 43 holds and 19 blown saves. They are ranked 29th in the league holding a save percentage of 47.2%, and they have dispatched 353 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Miami has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 36 save chances and they have recorded 17 saves.
The Miami Marlins have turned 92 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .980 (30th in pro baseball). The Marlins have accrued 858 assists, 70 errors and have earned a total of 2,549 putouts during this campaign. In 7,647 innings on the field, the Marlins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (14th in the majors).
Alcantara (16-28 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.57 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.07 and he has faced 1,688 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 159 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.273 and a FIP of 4.2. During his MLB career, Alcantara has surrendered 349 hits while accumulating 335 punch outs in 401 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+110)
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