San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/2/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Friday, July 2, 2021
Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-116) Philadelphia (-105)
Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies (37-41, 4th in NL East) will play the San Diego Padres (49-33, 3rd in NL West) on Friday. The Padres open this matchup at -116 while the Phillies are coming in at -105. The over/under opens at 8. The starting pitchers will be Chris Paddack and Zack Wheeler.
As a unit, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, which ranks them 12th in baseball. They have 377 runs scored and have an OBP of .325. The Padres have earned 117 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 100 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 358 runs batted in and 646 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average sits at .240. San Diego owns a slugging percentage of .404 and have struck out 681 times, while drawing a walk on 319 occasions.
The Padres have an ERA of 3.24 on the campaign (3rd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 817 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 250 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.72 as a unit on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 3.27 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.16. Padres pitchers have conceded 89 long balls and 297 total runs (6th in the league).
Padres pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 50 times in addition to having 77 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 53 holds this year (4th in baseball). The Padres relief pitchers have a save rate of 67.4% and has entered the game in 98 save situations. They have compiled 29 saves on the year and have blown 14 of 43 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 67 base runners this season with 25.4% of them crossed home plate. The Padres have dispatched 301 relief pitchers to the mound this year.
The Padres have transformed 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,555 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 9th in the majors. The San Diego Padres have a total of 2,185 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 694 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which ranks 18th in MLB, and have accumulated 567 double plays.
Paddack has taken the mound for 265 innings and has earned 281 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.96 (117 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.110. He has given up 236 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 59 walks. Paddack (17-17 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.09 while he has faced 1,094 opposing hitters in the major leagues.
Philadelphia has accumulated 82 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 320 RBIs. They have put up 120 doubles, while getting a free base 258 times and scoring 333 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies hold a team on-base percentage of .313 and a team batting average of .238 so far this year. The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .387 and they tally 4.27 runs per game (17th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 746 occasions (8th in MLB) and have a total of 614 base knocks.
The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.289 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.11 as a team so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.05 (727 strikeouts vs 238 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 639. They have given up 98 long balls and they relinquish 4.72 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 357 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.27 (323 earned runs yielded).
Philadelphia has had relievers enter the contest in 39 save chances and they have earned 18 saves. They are ranked 29th in baseball holding a save percentage of 46.2%, and they have sent 243 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 94 times in high leverage situations and on 69 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 42.3% out of their 104 inherited runners. With 72 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 31 holds and 21 blown saves.
In 6,126 innings played, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (25th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 71 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (22nd in MLB). The Phillies have 678 assists, 49 errors and have 2,042 putouts so far this season.
Wheeler (54-44 career win-loss record) has a 3.53 earned run average and has surrendered 8.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.92 and he has gone up against 3,888 hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 363 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.247 and a FIP of 3.5. During his MLB career, Wheeler has surrendered 845 hits while he has totaled 909 strikeouts in 926 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-116)
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Additional Resources:
Philadelphia Phillies - Twitter
San Diego Padres - Twitter