Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, 4/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+170) Houston (-200)

Justin Dunn and the Seattle Mariners (13-10, 2nd in AL West) go to Minute Maid Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Houston Astros (11-11, 4th in AL West). The line on this game has the Mariners coming in at +170 and the Astros are at -200. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Justin Dunn and Zack Greinke.

Seattle has a slugging % of .373 and have struck out 216 times, while drawing a walk on 74 occasions. They have 94 RBI's as well as 157 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is at .215. The Mariners have accumulated 39 doubles as a team and have knocked 24 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 99 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .295. As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are notching 4.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 15th in MLB.

The Mariners hold a team earned run average of 3.91 on the campaign (11th in the league), and the staff has struck out 181 batters. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.23 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26. Mariners pitchers have surrendered 22 home runs and 98 runs (17th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 81 opposing players and their FIP is 4.17 as a squad over the course of the season.

Mariners relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 21 times and also have had 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 8 holds so far this year (21st in the league). The Mariners relief pitchers have a save percentage of 70.0% and stepped onto the hill in 18 save situations. They have recorded 7 saves on the campaign and have not converted 3 of their 10 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 28 base runners on the season and 32.1% of them ended up scoring. The Mariners have dispatched 68 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Mariners have turned 73.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,845 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 1st in pro baseball. The Seattle Mariners have earned 615 putouts this year, as well as 219 assists and 6 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .993 which has them ranked 1st in MLB, and they have twisted 125 double plays.

Dunn has taken the ball for 67 frames and has accounted for 57 punch outs so far in his career. His ERA is 4.03 (30 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.388. He has conceded 42 hits (5.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 51 walks. Dunn (5-1 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 6.26 and he has faced 293 batters in the majors.

The Houston Astros have accounted for an OBP of .325 as well as a team batting average of .260 on the year. They have struck out on 163 instances (28th in baseball) and have accounted for 198 hits. Houston has accumulated 25 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 106 runs batted in. The Astros have a SLG% of .423 and they average 5.14 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have recorded 43 two-baggers, while getting a free base 63 times as well as putting up 113 runs.

The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.227 with a FIP of 4.19 as a squad on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.89 (191 strikeouts against 66 free passes). They are sitting at 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 172. They have given up 27 dingers and they allow 4.27 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 92 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.13 (89 earned runs relinquished).

With 18 save situations, the Astros have recorded 11 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Houston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 6 save opportunities and they have tallied 3 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 17 times in high leverage situations and on 21 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 36.8% of 38 inherited runners. They rank 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 67 relievers to the hill this year.

In their 1,746 innings on the diamond, the Astros hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (9th in the majors). The Houston Astros have turned 20 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (6th in pro baseball). The Astros have accrued 178 assists, 9 errors and have amassed 582 putouts this season.

In his MLB career, Greinke has given up 2,760 base knocks while he has totaled 2,711 punch outs in 2,971 frames. He has conceded 1,110 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.158 and having a FIP of 3.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.99 and he has faced 12,130 batters thus far in his career. Greinke (210-127 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.36 earned run average and has conceded 8.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-200)

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