Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 7/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, July 7, 2021

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-233) Baltimore (+175)

Matt Harvey and the Baltimore Orioles (27-57, 5th in AL East) play the Toronto Blue Jays (43-39, 3rd in AL East) at Oriole Park on Wednesday. The Orioles open this game at +175 while the Blue Jays are priced at -233. The O/U opens at 11. The expected starting pitchers will be Hyun Jin Ryu and Matt Harvey.

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Toronto has a slugging rate of .452 and have struck out 680 times, while being walked on 250 occasions. They have accrued 401 RBI's in addition to 744 hits on the campaign, and their batting average is sitting at .265. The Blue Jays have tallied 139 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 124 baseballs out of the park. They have 423 runs scored and have an OBP of .328. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 5.2 runs/g, which puts them at 2nd in the league.

The Blue Jays are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.97 on the year (13th in the league), and the staff has struck out 753 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.90 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 111 long balls and 350 runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 260 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.31 as a squad on the campaign.

The Blue Jays have sent 281 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have inherited 134 base runners on the year with 29.9% of those players crossed the plate. They have recorded 15 saves on the season and have blown 10 of their 25 save opportunities. The Blue Jays bullpen have a save percentage of 60.0% and has entered the game in 67 save situations. The relievers have earned 39 holds so far this season (17th in baseball). Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 95 times as well as having 90 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,450 innings on the field, ranking them 12th in the majors. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for 2,150 putouts so far this season, as well as 745 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which has them ranked 26th in MLB, and they have twisted 540 double plays.

Ryu has taken the ball for 901 innings and has totaled 811 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.03 (303 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.162. He has allowed 845 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 202 walks. Ryu (66-40 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.39 while he has gone up against 3,682 opposing hitters in the majors.

Baltimore has a total of 95 long balls so far this year to go along with 335 runs batted in. They have 138 doubles, while taking a walk 241 times and scoring 346 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have a team on-base percentage of .302 as well as a team batting average of .237 on the campaign. The Orioles have a team slugging % of .393 and they have an average of 4.12 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have struck out on 735 occasions (16th in MLB) and have accounted for 663 hits.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.464 and have a FIP of 4.82 as a staff this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.38 (705 strikeouts vs 296 walks). They are sitting at 29th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 761. They have yielded 126 homers and they concede 5.73 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Baltimore pitching staff have conceded 460 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 5.48 (440 earned runs surrendered).

Baltimore bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.7% of 175 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 92 times in high leverage situations and on 112 occasions with runners on. With 64 save situations, the Orioles have recorded 35 holds and 13 blown saves. They are currently ranked 26th in MLB holding a save rate of 53.6%, and they have dispatched 283 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Baltimore has had relief pitchers take the mound in 28 save chances and they have come away with 15 saves.

In their 6,504 innings played, the Orioles have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (28th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 52 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (7th in pro baseball). The Orioles have recorded 684 assists, 41 errors and have amassed 2,168 putouts so far this year.

In his MLB career, Harvey has allowed 908 base knocks while he has earned 830 punch outs in 911 frames. Harvey (47-61 record in his career) has earned a 4.40 ERA while conceding 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 445 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.284 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.17 and he has faced 3,863 opposing batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-233)

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