Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/12/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Sunday, September 12, 2021

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-222) Baltimore (+170)

Oriole Park is the venue where Mike Baumann and the Baltimore Orioles (46-94, 5th in AL East) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (77-63, 4th in AL East) on Sunday. The Orioles open this game at +170 while the Blue Jays are priced at -222. The O/U is set at 10. The expected starting pitchers are Steven Matz and Mike Baumann.

Toronto has a slugging rate of .457 and have struck out 1,078 times, while being walked on 432 occasions. They have accounted for 685 RBI's as well as 1,249 hits on the campaign, and their batting average sits at .264. The Blue Jays have hit 237 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 217 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 713 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .330. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 5.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league.

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The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 3.83 on the year (10th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,266 hitters. They have walked 410 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.08 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.09 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 173 long balls and 571 total runs (8th in the league).

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have a save percentage of 61.4% and has entered the game in 104 save situations. The relievers have inherited 218 base runners on the season and 28.9% of them crossed the plate. Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 153 times as well as having 146 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 471 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have notched 57 holds over the course of the season (28th in baseball). They have compiled 27 saves over the course of the season and have blown 17 of 44 save opportunities.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,938 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 16th in professional baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have amassed 3,646 putouts on the year, as well as 1,202 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which ranks 22nd in pro baseball, and have earned 914 double plays.

Matz (42-48 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.33 while he has gone up against 3,038 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 721 base hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 216 free passes. His earned run average is 4.23 (333 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.322. Matz has taken the ball for 708 innings and is sitting with 674 K's during his career.

The Orioles hold a slugging percentage of .404 and they average 4.15 runs per game (25th in baseball). They have put up 235 two-baggers, while getting a free base 393 times as well as notching 581 runs. Baltimore has tallied 170 home runs for the season to go along with 557 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,237 occasions (13th in MLB) and have earned 1,127 hits. The Baltimore Orioles have earned a team OBP of .304 and a batting average of .240 on the year.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.473 and have a FIP of 5.00 as a squad over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.23 (1,104 strikeouts vs 494 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 30th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,293. They have surrendered 214 homers and they surrender 6.03 runs per 9 innings (30th in baseball). The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 813 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 5.72 (771 earned runs conceded).

With 97 save situations, the Orioles have earned 53 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. Baltimore has had relievers enter the game in 43 save chances and they have tallied 22 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 135 times in high leverage situations in addition to 179 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 40.5% out of their 289 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 29th in baseball holding a save percentage of 51.2%, and they have dispatched 483 relievers to the mound this season.

In their 10,920 innings played, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (28th in baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have twisted 83 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (7th in professional baseball). The Orioles have 1,164 assists, 68 errors and have amassed 3,640 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his career, Baumann has surrendered 2 hits while he has totaled 1 strikeouts in 3 frames. Baumann (1-0 career mark) has earned a 0.00 earned run average and has surrendered 4.9 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 0 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.818 and having a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 1.00 and he has gone up against 14 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+170)

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